New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns 11/14/21 NFL Picks and Predictions
Cleveland Browns (5-4) vs. New England Patriots (5-4)
November 14, 2021 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: New England Patriots -1 / Cleveland Browns +1; Over/Under: -45.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New England Patriots and Cleveland Browns square off Sunday afternoon in week 10 NFL action at Gillette Stadium. The Cleveland Browns look for a win after splitting their last six games. The New England Patriots look to build on their three-game winning streak.
The Cleveland Browns have split their last four road games. Baker Mayfield is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 1,917 yards, 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. David Njoku and Donovan Peoples-Jones have combined for 655 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jarvis Landry has 19 receptions. The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 160.2 yards per contest, and Nick Chubb leads the way with 721 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 21.8 points and 309.7 yards per game. Anthony Walker leads the Cleveland Browns with 57 tackles, Myles Garrett has 12 sacks and John Johnson III has 2 interceptions.
The New England Patriots have lost four of their last five home games. Mac Jones is completing 68 percent of his passes for 2,135 yards, 10 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Jakobi Meyers and Kendrick Bourne have combined for 856 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns while Nelson Agholor has 22 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 106.8 yards per contest, and Damien Harris leads the way with 547 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 18.9 points and 340.3 yards per game. Kyle Dugger leads the New England Patriots with 56 tackles, Matt Judon has 9 sacks and J.C. Jackson has 5 interceptions.
The Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 7-15 ATS in their last 22 vs. AFC. The Patriots are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win. The over is 9-4 in Browns last 13 vs. AFC. The over is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games overall. The Browns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Usually I’m giving the home team the edge in these near pick em spots, and you have to give the Patriots credit for finding ways to turn their season around and enter the playoff conversation. However, I still don’t trust Jones being a difference maker in a game where he will have to score points. The Cleveland Browns are coming off their best performance of the season, and they’ve now topped 40 points in two of their last five games. Give me the Browns.