New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts 11/6/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

The New England Patriots and Indianapolis Colts square off Sunday in a week 9 NFL game at Gillette Stadium. The Indianapolis Colts look for a win after splitting their last 6 games. The New England Patriots look to get a game above a .500 record.

The Indianapolis Colts are 1-2-1 SU on the road this season. Sam Ehlinger is completing 73.9 percent of his passes for 201 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Michael Pittman Jr. and Alec Pierce have combined for 901 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Parris Campbell has 30 receptions. The Indianapolis Colts ground game is averaging 87.8 yards per contest, and Jonathan Taylor leads the way with 462 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Indianapolis is allowing 19.6 points and 319.8 yards per game. Zaire Franklin leads the Indianapolis Colts with 81 tackles, DeForest Buckner has 4 sacks and Rodney McLeod has 1 interception.

The New England Patriots have won 5 of their last 8 home games. Mac Jones is completing 65.9 percent of his passes for 993 yards, 3 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Jakobi Meyers and DeVante Parker have combined for 736 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Nelson Agholor has 15 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 123.1 yards per contest, and Rhamondre Stevenson leads the way with 558 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 20.4 points and 350.5 yards per game. Ja’Whaun Bentley leads the New England Patriots with 45 tackles, Matthew Judon has 8.5 sacks and Jalen Mills has 2 interceptions.

The Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 13-3 in Colts last 16 games overall. The over is 8-1 in Patriots last 9 home games. The Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New England and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

The Indianapolis Colts will remain competitive because of their defense, but their ground game is 29th in the league, and they’re playing an inexperienced quarterback who will make his first road start. Bill Belichick usually thrives in these spots, where he can confuse a young quarterback. The New England Patriots have also quietly won 3 of their last 4 games and have given up 17 or fewer points in 3 of those games. Just don’t see the Colts doing much offensively to give themselves a shot.