LA Chargers (9-6) vs. New England Patriots (3-12)
December 28, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: New England Patriots +3.5; Over/Under: +40.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Los Angeles Chargers and New England Patriots meet Saturday in week 17 NFL action at Gillette Stadium. Here’s a New England Patriots vs LA Chargers Prediction. This article will include a New England Patriots vs LA Chargers Pick.
Los Angeles Chargers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Chargers lost to the Buccaneers, beat the Broncos, and they play the Raiders next. The Los Angeles Chargers have won 4 of their last 7 road games. Justin Herbert is completing 64.7 percent of his passes for 3,243 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Ladd McConkey and Joshua Palmer have combined for 1,503 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Quentin Johnston has 37 receptions.
The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 106.5 yards per contest, and Gus Edwards leads the way with 365 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 18.3 points and 337.9 yards per game. Daiyan Henley leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 142 tackles, Tuli Tuipulotu has 7.5 sacks and Tarheeb Still has 4 interceptions.
New England Patriots Betting Preview
The New England Patriots lost to the Cardinals and Bills, and they play the Bills next. The New England Patriots have lost 5 of their last 6 home games. Drake Maye is completing 67.6 percent of his passes for 2,159 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions. Hunter Henry and DeMario Douglas have combined for 1,215 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Kayshon Boutte has 32 receptions.
The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 119.7 yards per contest, and Rhamondre Stevenson leads the way with 800 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 24.1 points and 342.8 yards per game. Jahlani Tavai leads the New England Patriots with 101 tackles, Keion White has 5 sacks and Christian Gonzalez has 2 interceptions.
Why the Los Angeles Chargers will win
- The Patriots have lost each of their last eight December home games against AFC opponents.
- The favorites have won each of the Chargers’ last 12 Week 17 games.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Chargers’ last eight Week 17 games.
- The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs before a Division game.
- The favorites have won the first half in each of the Chargers’ last 10 Week 17 games.
- The Chargers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last nine games following a home win.
- The Chargers have won the first quarter in each of their last five games following a home win.
New England Patriots Player Prop Facts
- Austin Hooper has recorded 35+ receiving yards in each of the Patriots’ last six games.
- Drake Maye has recorded 222+ passing yards in each of the Patriots’ last four games played on the East Coast.
- Hunter Henry has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five appearances against teams with a winning record.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 48+ rushing yards in each of his last five home appearances.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 62+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine appearances following a road loss.
- Drake Maye has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Patriots’ last four games played on the East Coast.
- Kyle Dugger is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts
- Justin Herbert has thrown two touchdowns in five of the Chargers’ last six games as favorites.
- Josh Palmer has recorded 41+ receiving yards in eight of his last nine December appearances against AFC opponents.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 235+ passing yards in 10 of the Chargers’ last 12 games as favorites following a home win.
- Quentin Johnston has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances against teams with a losing record.
- Gus Edwards has recorded 36+ rushing yards in each of his last six December appearances against AFC opponents.
- Gus Edwards has recorded 53+ rushing and receiving yards in six of his last seven December appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 22+ completions in six of his seven previous December road appearances against AFC opponents.
- Marcus Maye is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 17, the Patriots rank 32nd in the NFL in passing yards per game (178.5) this season.
- Heading into Week 17, the Patriots rank 2nd in the NFL in average punt return (14.3 yards) this season.
- Heading into Week 17, the Chargers rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (18.3) this season.
- Heading into Week 17, the Chargers rank 1st in the NFL in H1 opponent points per game (7.8) this season.
New England Patriots vs LA Chargers Prediction
The Los Angeles Chargers are the better team and need to win to improve their playoff chances, but there are reasons why this line is soft. It’s a long trip for a west coast team, and it’s going to be in the 30s. The Los Angeles Chargers also have a history of losing games they shouldn’t and the offense is still very limited with no running game to speak of. The New England Patriots have also been competitive, which includes 3 of their last 6 losses being decided by three or fewer points. Give me the points with the Pats at home, as this has a chance to get hairy for the Chargers.
