New York Jets (6-3) vs. New England Patriots (5-4)
November 20, 2022 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: New England Patriots -3.5 / New York Jets +3.5; Over/Under: +39.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New England Patriots and New York Jets clash Sunday in a week 11 NFL AFC East showdown at Gillette Stadium. The New York Jets have won 5 of their last 6 games. The New England Patriots have won 4 of their last 5 games.
The New York Jets have won all 4 road games this season. Zach Wilson is completing 57.5 percent of his passes for 1,202 yards, 4 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Garrett Wilson and Corey Davis have combined for 872 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Tyler Conklin has 33 receptions. The New York Jets ground game is averaging 116 yards per contest, and Breece Hall leads the way with 463 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, New York is allowing 19.6 points and 312 yards per game. C.J. Mosley leads the New York Jets with 88 tackles, Quinnen Williams has 7 sacks and Lamarcus Joyner has 3 interceptions.
The New England Patriots have split their last 4 home games. Mac Jones is completing 66.1 percent of his passes for 1,140 yards, 4 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Jakobi Meyers and DeVante Parker have combined for 778 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Hunter Henry has 19 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 117.2 yards per contest, and Rhamondre Stevenson leads the way with 618 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 18.4 points and 325 yards per game. Ja’Whaun Bentley leads the New England Patriots with 55 tackles, Matthew Judon has 11.5 sacks and Jalen Mills has 2 interceptions.
The Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Patriots are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games overall. The over is 8-2 in Patriots last 10 home games. The Jets are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in New England and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
I understand the New England Patriots being at home and Bill Belichick off a bye week and all that jazz. I get it. However, there’s a strong argument to be made for the Jets being the better team here, and there’s always value in this business to getting free points with the better team. These teams also played a couple of weeks ago and the game came down to the wire while Wilson passed all over them. Give me the points.
