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New England Patriots vs NY Jets Prediction 10-27-24 NFL Picks

NY Jets (2-5) vs. New England Patriots (1-6)
October 27, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: New England Patriots +6.5; Over/Under: +40.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Jets and the New England Patriots meet Sunday in NFL action from Gillette Stadium. Here’s a New England Patriots vs NY Jets Prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Patriots vs Jets pick.

New York Jets Betting Preview

The Jets took a loss to the 49ers in their opener but then beat the Titans and Patriots in the next pair. New York would hit the skids after that, however, falling in succession to the Broncos, Vikings, and Bills.


In their Sunday night matchup versus the Steelers, the Jets went into the second half with a two-point lead but got outscored 24-0 from there in a 37-15 blowout loss. QB Aaron Rodgers had 276 yards, one score, and a couple of picks. Breece Hall led the rush on 12 carries for 38 yards and a score.

New England Patriots Betting Preview

Over on the Patriots’ side, they beat the Bengals in their opener 16-10. New England would hit a losing streak of their own after that, falling to the Seahawks, Jets, 49ers, Dolphins, and Texans over the next five outings.

In London on Sunday against the Jaguars, New England gave up 22 points in the second quarter during a 32-16 loss. Drake Maye finished with 276 yards and a pair of passing scores. Hunter Henry caught eight balls for 92 yards to pace the receivers.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Jets’ last eight road games played on the East Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the last five games between the Jets and Patriots has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of the last six games between AFC East teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

New England Patriots Player Prop Facts

  • Rhamondre Stevenson has scored a touchdown in four of his last five appearances in Sunday games played on the East Coast.
  • Antonio Gibson has recorded 39+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 11 previous October home appearances.
  • Jacoby Brissett has recorded 230+ passing yards in five of his last six October appearances.
  • K.J. Osborn has recorded 26+ receiving yards in each of his last five October appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Antonio Gibson has recorded 29+ rushing yards in each of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC East opponents.
  • Kyle Dugger is just one away from 10 career interceptions.

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

  • Garrett Wilson has recorded 61+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Jets’ last five October games.
  • Davante Adams has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last five appearances on the East Coast.
  • Aaron Rodgers has recorded 246+ passing yards in each of his last 12 October appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
  • Breece Hall has scored the first touchdown in each of the Jets’ last three October games as favorites.
  • Mike Williams has recorded 26+ receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances in Sunday games played on the East Coast.
  • Aaron Rodgers has recorded 11+ rushing yards in each of his last three appearances in Sunday games played on the East Coast.
  • Aaron Rodgers has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last four Week 8 appearances.
  • Aaron Rodgers has recorded 23+ completions in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a road favorite against AFC opponents.
  • Heading into Week 8, Aaron Rodgers has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (3 vs Vikings, Week 5).

New England Patriots vs NY Jets Prediction

I’m going with New England. The Pats gave up a healthy bit of offense to the Jaguars last weekend: 364 total yards (193 passing) and 23 first downs—not to mention the 6-of-10 rate on third-down tries. New England came up with just 38 rushing yards themselves, with 17 first downs. That makes 16 or fewer points in four of the last five games.

As for the Jets, they posted another miserable outing against the Steelers on national television last weekend. New York gave up 409 total yards (260 passing) and 6.2 yards per play while going just 3-of-10 on third downs themselves. The Jets can’t get out of their own way, and I don’t see them regrouping well enough to cover on the road this weekend.

Andrew's Free Pick: New England Patriots +6.5

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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