New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction 9/20/26 NFL Picks Today
Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) vs. New England Patriots (0-1)
September 20, 2026 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: New England Patriots -5.5; Over/Under: 41.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Pittsburgh Steelers and the New England Patriots meet in week 2 NFL action from Gillette Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New England Patriots prediction.
Pittsburgh Steelers Recap
The Pittsburgh Steelers come into this game looking to add on to their 20-13 win over the Atlanta Falcons last time out to sit at 1-0 on the year. After this game, Pittsburgh will head home for a game against the Cincinnati Bengals.
Steelers Looking For Solid Road Win
Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 221 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions on 60.0% passing while Jaylen Warren leads the Steelers in rushing with 46 rushing yards and 0 touchdowns so far this season. Rico Dowdle sits behind Warren with 15 yards and 0 TDs. Michael Pittman Jr. leads Pittsburgh in receiving with 58 yards and 3 catches along with 0 touchdowns, while Warren leads the team in receptions with 5 catches for 27 yards and 0 touchdowns. On defense, Payton Wilson has a team-high 14 total tackles while T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith lead the team with 2 sacks each, and Pittsburgh’s defense as a whole has combined for 4 sacks and 2 interceptions so far this season.
New England Patriots Recap
The New England Patriots come into this game looking to rebound from their 13-10 loss at the hands of the Seattle Seahawks last time out to sit at 0-1 on the year. After this game, the Patriots will head on the road for a game against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Patriots Looking To Shake Off Opening Night Loss
Drake Maye has thrown for 178 yards, 1 touchdown and 3 interceptions on 69.7% passing while Rhamondre Stevenson leads the Patriots in rushing with 51 rushing yards and 0 touchdowns so far this season. Maye sits behind Stevenson on the ground with 47 yards and 0 TDs. Mack Hollins leads New England in receiving with 51 yards and 4 catches along with 0 touchdowns, while Stevenson leads the team in receptions with 5 catches for 44 yards and 0 touchdowns. On defense, Robert Spillane has a team-high 8 total tackles while Gabe Jacas and Dre’Mont Jones lead the team with 1 sack each, and New England’s defense as a whole has combined for 2 sacks and 0 interceptions so far this season.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots Betting Trends: Week 2
Why the New England Patriots will win
- The Patriots have won each of their last 13 games as favorites.
- The Steelers have lost nine of their last 10 road games without T.J. Watt.
- The Patriots have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as home favorites against AFC North opponents.
- The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven road games following a win.
- The Patriots have won the first half in each of their last nine games at Gillette Stadium.
- The Steelers have lost the first quarter in seven of their last nine Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Patriots have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five games at Gillette Stadium.
Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win
- The Steelers have won each of their last eight road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Patriots have lost eight of their last nine home games in September.
- The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine home games in September.
- The Steelers have covered the spread in eight of their last nine Sunday games played on the East Coast.
- The Patriots have lost the first quarter in six of their last seven games as home favorites following a road loss.
- The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games against AFC East opponents.
- The road team has won the first half in each of the Patriots’ last five Week 2 games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Steelers’ last eight road openers as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Patriots’ last six home games following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the last seven Sunday games at Gillette Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
New England Patriots Player Prop Facts
- Hunter Henry has scored two touchdowns in three of his four previous appearances against the Steelers.
- Hunter Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Patriots’ last four games against AFC North opponents.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 22+ receiving yards in each of the Patriots’ last six regular season games.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 50+ rushing yards in each of the Patriots’ last four games at Gillette Stadium.
- Drake Maye has recorded 268+ passing yards in each of the Patriots’ last four games against AFC North opponents.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 71+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Patriots’ last seven games against AFC opponents.
- Drake Maye has recorded 22+ completions in three of the Patriots’ last four games against AFC North opponents.
- Heading into Week 2, Drake Maye has thrown the most interceptions in a single game this season (3 vs Seahawks, Week 1).
Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts
- Jaylen Warren has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Steelers’ last five regular season games as underdogs.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 209+ passing yards in 15 of his 17 previous Week 2 appearances.
- Jaylen Warren has recorded 21+ receiving yards in seven of the Steelers’ last eight regular season road games against AFC opponents.
- Jaylen Warren has recorded 46+ rushing yards in each of the Steelers’ last four regular season games.
- Rico Dowdle has recorded 54+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances following a win.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 21+ completions in each of the Steelers’ last six regular season games.
- Heading into Week 2, T.J. Watt ranks T1st in the NFL in sacks (2.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 2, the Patriots rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (100.0%) this season.
- Heading into Week 2, the Patriots rank T1st in the NFL in red zone percentage against (0.0%) this season.
- Steelers – two different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 2.
- Heading into Week 2, the Steelers rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards per game (58.0) this season.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New England Patriots Prediction
I’m on the Steelers and the points in this one. New England’s got plenty of rest coming into this game, but the Patriots are banged up and did not look good in the opener. Pittsburgh beating Atlanta didn’t really tell us much but I still think this is just too many points for what’s a 3-4 point game. Give me Pittsburgh and the points.