New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction 11-10-24 NFL Picks

The Atlanta Falcons and the New Orleans Saints will meet Sunday in NFL action from Caesars Superdome. Here’s a New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Falcons vs Saints pick.

Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview

Atlanta notched a 2-2 run over their first four games this year. The losses were to the Steelers and Chiefs; the wins otherwise came versus the Eagles and Saints. The Falcons would beat the Buccaneers (twice) and Panthers with a loss to the Seahawks over the next quartet.

In the Cowboys game last weekend, Atlanta put up points in every quarter (and allowed points in every quarter) along the way to a 27-21 win. QB Kirk Cousins bagged 222 yards with three scores. Darnell Mooney led the receivers with his five catches for 88 yards and a TD.

New Orleans Saints Betting Preview

Over on the Saints’ side, they beat the Panthers and Cowboys to start out the year, then hit a rough losing streak. New Orleans would fall to the Eagles, Falcons, Chiefs, Buccaneers, Broncos, and Chargers over the next six games.

In the second game versus the Panthers last weekend, the Saints held a 13-10 edge going into the second half. New Orleans couldn’t hang on, however, and ended up losing 23-22 in the end. Derek Carr logged 236 yards with a TD, and Alvin Kamara led the rush with 155 yards on 29 carries.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last seven games between NFC South teams has gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Falcons’ last nine Week 10 games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the last eight November games between the Falcons and Saints have gone UNDER the total points line.

New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts

• Jamaal Williams has recorded 20+ rushing and receiving yards in 20 of his last 21 home appearances against division opponents.
• Jamaal Williams has recorded 11+ rushing yards in each of his last eight November appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Taysom Hill has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five appearances following a loss.
• Alvin Kamara has recorded 33+ receiving yards in each of his last seven November appearances against NFC opponents.
• Derek Carr has recorded 229+ passing yards in 10 of his last 12 appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
• Derek Carr has recorded 24+ completions in each of his six previous appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC South opponents.
• Derek Carr has thrown two or more touchdowns in seven of his eight previous home appearances against NFC South opponents.
• Heading into Week 10, Carl Granderson ranks 1st in the NFL in quarterback hurries (12) this season.

Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Drake London has scored a touchdown in each of the Falcons’ last five games following a win.
• Bijan Robinson has recorded 40+ receiving yards in six of the Falcons’ last seven Sunday games as favorites.
• Kirk Cousins has recorded 262+ passing yards in six of his seven previous Week 10 appearances.
• Bijan Robinson has recorded 105+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Falcons’ last four Sunday games.
• Bijan Robinson has recorded 86+ rushing yards in each of the Falcons’ last three November games against NFC opponents.
• Kirk Cousins has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last 10 November appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Kirk Cousins has recorded 25+ completions in four of his last five Week 10 appearances.
• Heading into Week 10, Kirk Cousins has recorded the most completions in a single game this season (42 vs Buccaneers, Week 5).

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction

I’ll go with the Falcons here. Atlanta didn’t have the greatest offensive outing against the Cowboys last weekend but still got the job done. The Falcons managed 310 total yards with 17 first downs and a tepid 4-of-13 on third-down tries. The defense was pretty good at halting drives, though: Atlanta gave up just 4-of-18 on third- and fourth-down attempts.

As for New Orleans, they faded down the stretch in their matchup with Carolina, notching 10 penalties for 109 yards along the way in a sloppy effort. Overall the defense was pretty solid with 246 yards (166 passing) and 15 first downs allowed. The Saints will face a tougher offense this weekend though, and I don’t think they’ll keep a cover pace.