Cleveland Browns (2-7) vs. New Orleans Saints (3-7)
November 17, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: New Orleans Saints -1; Over/Under: +44
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cleveland Browns and the New Orleans Saints will meet Sunday in NFL action from Caesars Superdome. Here’s a New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Saints vs Browns pick.
Cleveland Browns Betting Preview
The Browns lost to the Cowboys in their opener, then beat the Jaguars in game two. Cleveland would hit a losing streak versus the Giants, Raiders, Commanders, Eagles, and Bengals before their next win over the Ravens 29-24 on October 27.
Back on November 3 in their last appearance versus the Chargers, the Browns fell back into the loss column. Cleveland was down 20-3 by halftime and limped to a 27-10 defeat. Jameis Winston finished with 235 yards, one TD, and three picks. Cedric Tillman caught the score among his six grabs for 75 yards.
New Orleans Saints Betting Preview
Over on the New Orleans side, they won their first pair versus the Panthers and Cowboys. The Saints hit a rough losing streak after that however, falling to the Eagles, Falcons, Chiefs, Buccaneers, Broncos, Chargers, and Panthers.
New Orleans finally stopped the bleeding last weekend with a win over the Falcons. The Saints scored 17 points in the second quarter and held on for the win 20-17. Derek Carr threw for 269 yards and two scores. Marquez Valdes-Scantling caught both TDs among three grabs for 109 yards.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Browns’ last nine games against NFC South opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of the Saints’ last 10 Sunday games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts
- Derek Carr has recorded 231+ passing yards in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
- Alvin Kamara has recorded 44+ receiving yards in six of the Saints’ last seven November games as home favorites.
- Jamaal Williams has recorded 11+ rushing yards in each of his last nine home appearances against AFC opponents.
- Jamaal Williams has recorded 17+ rushing and receiving yards in 23 of his last 25 Sunday regular-season appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Taysom Hill has scored a touchdown in four of the Saints’ last five games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
- Derek Carr has recorded 20+ completions in eight of his last nine home appearances against AFC opponents.
- Derek Carr has thrown three or more touchdowns in three of the Saints’ last four games as favorites following a win.
- Heading into Week 11, Carl Granderson ranks T1st in the NFL in quarterback hurries (12) this season.
Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts
- Nick Chubb has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Browns’ last five games as underdogs against NFC South opponents.
- Nick Chubb has recorded 14+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight November appearances.
- Nick Chubb has recorded 84+ rushing yards in each of his last nine appearances against NFC opponents.
- Nick Chubb has recorded 66+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 11 appearances against NFC opponents.
- Jameis Winston has recorded 246+ passing yards in three of his four previous Week 11 appearances.
- Jameis Winston has thrown two or more touchdowns in eight of his last 10 November appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns Prediction
I’ll stay with the Saints. There’s not a whole lot to like about this matchup, but it should be a competitive game at least. The Saints notched 365 total yards (269 passing) in their win over Atlanta but mustered just 14 first downs, 5-of-13 on third-down tries, and 24:53 in time of possession. The defense did the rest, bending but not breaking on 468 yards (287 passing) and a 5-of-14 rate allowed on third-down conversions.
As for the Browns, they put up 292 yards, 3.8 yards per play, 21 first downs, and three interceptions on offense in their 17-point loss to the Chargers on November 3. The 10 points were the lowest total so far this year, and Cleveland has had plenty of time to think about it. I like the Browns to look better on Sunday but I’m still leaning toward a Saints home cover/win.
