New Orleans Saints vs Denver Broncos Prediction 10-17-24 NFL Picks
Denver Broncos (3-3) vs. New Orleans Saints (2-4)
October 17, 2024 8:15 pm EDT
The Line: New Orleans Saints +1; Over/Under: +37
(Get latest betting odds)
The Denver Broncos and New Orleans Saints meet Thursday in week 7 NFL action at Caesars Superdome. Here’s a New Orleans Saints vs Denver Broncos Prediction. This article will include a New Orleans Saints vs Denver Broncos Pick.
Denver Broncos Betting Preview
The Denver Broncos beat the Raiders, lost to the Chargers, and they play the Panthers next. The Denver Broncos have split their last 10 road games. Bo Nix is completing 61.1 percent of his passes for 1,082 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Courtland Sutton and Josh Reynolds have combined for 460 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Javonte Williams has 20 receptions.
The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 107.3 yards per contest, and Williams leads the way with 213 yards on 59 carries. Defensively, Denver is allowing 16 points and 284.3 yards per game. Brandon Jones leads the Denver Broncos with 44 tackles, Jonathon Cooper has 4.5 sacks and Pat Surtain II has 2 interceptions.
New Orleans Saints Betting Preview
The New Orleans Saints lost to the Chiefs and Buccaneers, and they play the Chargers next. The New Orleans Saints have won 5 of their last 8 home games. Spencer Rattler is completing 55 percent of his passes for 243 yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Rashid Shaheed and Chris Olave have combined for 629 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Alvin Kamara has 28 receptions.
The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 119.5 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 428 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 24.5 points and 395.8 yards per game. Paulson Adebo leads the New Orleans Saints with 46 tackles, Bryan Bresee has 4 sacks and Tyrann Mathieu has 2 interceptions.
Why the Denver Broncos will win
- The Saints have lost each of their last five Thursday games.
- The Broncos have won each of their last five games against NFC opponents on a losing streak.
- The Saints have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games at Caesars Superdome following a Division loss.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Broncos’ last six Week 7 games.
- The favorites have won the first quarter in each of the Broncos’ last six Week 7 games.
- The Broncos have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five games as favorites following a loss.
- The favorites have won the first half in each of the Broncos’ last six Week 7 games.
New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts
- Alvin Kamara has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Saints’ last four games following a home loss.
- Alvin Kamara has recorded 119+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Saints’ last four October home games against AFC opponents.
- Alvin Kamara has recorded 36+ receiving yards in each of the Saints’ last four October games against AFC opponents.
- Derek Carr has recorded 244+ passing yards in five of his six previous October appearances as home underdogs against AFC opponents.
- Jamaal Williams has recorded 28+ rushing yards in 13 of his last 16 appearances with his team as a home underdog.
- Derek Carr has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last 10 October appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Heading into Week 7, Carl Granderson ranks T1st in the NFL in quarterback hurries (10) this season.
Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in each of the Broncos’ last four October games as road favorites.
- Courtland Sutton has recorded 46+ receiving yards in each of his last five appearances following a home loss.
- Bo Nix has recorded 206+ passing yards in four of the Broncos’ last five games.
- Jaleel McLaughlin has recorded 37+ rushing yards in each of the Broncos’ last four games as favorites following a loss.
- Jaleel McLaughlin has recorded 46+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Broncos’ last four games as favorites following a loss.
- Patrick Surtain is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 7, the Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in yards allowed per game (395.8) this season.
- Heading into Week 7, the Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in average yards per punt (43.5) this season.
- Heading into Week 7, the Broncos rank 2nd in the NFL in sacks (22.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 7, the Broncos rank 31st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (25.0%) this season.
New Orleans Saints vs Denver Broncos Prediction
The Denver Broncos continue to struggle offensively behind Nix, but the defense has been great enough to keep them in games. Even without possibly Pat Surtain, the Bronco’s defense should have success against the Saints and Rattler in just his second start. To make matters worse, the Saints could be without receivers Rashid Shaheed and Chris Olave, as well as offensive linemen and linebacker Pete Werner. The Broncos are the healthier side and have the better defense. This is also a homecoming for Sean Payton, and I’m sure he’s had this game circled for a while. Give me the Broncos in this near pick ’em.