NY Giants vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction 9/13/26 NFL Picks Today

The Dallas Cowboys and the New York Giants meet in week 1 NFL action from MetLife Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants prediction.

Dallas Cowboys Team Preview

The Dallas Cowboys enter the 2026 season looking to rebound under head coach Brian Schottenheimer following a 7-9-1 campaign in 2025. In 2025, Dak Prescott paced the offense alongside CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens, while defensive tackle Quinnen Williams led the interior front line. During the 2026 offseason, general manager Jerry Jones reshaped the roster by acquiring defensive tackle Rashan Gary via trade and signing veteran pass rusher Von Miller and safety Jalen Thompson. Dallas also re-signed running back Javonte Williams to anchor the backfield while making changes to the coaching staff by bringing in Christian Parker as defensive coordinator. Powered by an explosive passing attack featuring Prescott, Lamb, and Pickens alongside a revamped defense, the Cowboys head into 2026 aiming to regain control of the NFC East and secure a return to the postseason.

New York Giants Team Preview

The New York Giants enter the 2026 season launching a new era under head coach John Harbaugh following a 4-13 campaign in 2025 that saw the departure of Brian Daboll. In 2025, Malik Nabers led the receiving corps with 1,019 yards, Tyrone Tracy Jr. paced the ground game with 821 rushing yards, and Brian Burns spearheaded the defense with 16.5 sacks. During the 2026 offseason, general manager Joe Schoen completely overhauled the roster by acquiring defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence’s replacement in D.J. Reader, signing wide receivers Darnell Mooney and Odell Beckham Jr., and securing running back Najee Harris alongside tight end Isaiah Likely. Schoen also reshaped the secondary by signing cornerback Greg Newsome II and safety Jevon Holland while adding cornerback Paulson Adebo. Operating under Harbaugh’s leadership with a retooled secondary and an upgraded offensive arsenal surrounding young quarterback Jaxson Dart, the Giants head into 2026 aiming to reset their identity and climb out of the NFC East basement.

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants Betting Trends: Week 1

Why the New York Giants will win

• The Giants have won each of their last four games as underdogs without Jason Pinnock.
• The Cowboys have lost five of their last six Sunday games as favorites.
• The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games without DaRon Bland.
• The Giants have covered the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs without Jason Pinnock.
• The Cowboys have lost the first half in four of their last five Sunday games.
• The Cowboys have lost the first quarter in four of their last five September games as favorites.
• The Giants have scored the first touchdown in six of their last eight games as home underdogs.

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

• The Cowboys have won each of their last eight September road games against the Giants.
• The Giants have lost each of their last 10 September games as underdogs against NFC East opponents.
• The Cowboys have covered the spread in each of their last seven road openers against NFC East opponents.
• The Giants have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 14 home openers.
• The Cowboys have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight games played as favorites on the East Coast.
• The Giants have lost the first half in each of their last nine season openers.
• The road team has won the first quarter in eight of the last nine games between the Cowboys and Giants.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Giants’ last 12 home openers have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Cowboys’ last seven road games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Nine of the last 10 games between NFC East teams have gone OVER the total points line.

New York Giants Player Prop Facts

• Cameron Skattebo has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last three appearances.
• Jaxson Dart has recorded 230+ passing yards in three of his last four appearances against NFC opponents.
• Odell Beckham Jr. has recorded 23+ receiving yards in each of his 36 previous appearances with the Giants as underdogs.
• Jaxson Dart has recorded 19+ completions in five of his last six Sunday appearances.
• Tyrone Tracy has recorded 36+ rushing yards in each of the Giants’ last eight games.
• Tyrone Tracy has recorded 32+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 25 Sunday appearances.
• Tremaine Edmunds recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game last season (2 vs Cowboys, Week 3).

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• Dak Prescott has recorded 25+ completions in five of the Cowboys’ last six Sunday games as road favorites.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 264+ passing yards in four of the Cowboys’ last five games against NFC East opponents.
• Javonte Williams has recorded 87+ rushing yards in three of his last four appearances against NFC East opponents.
• Javonte Williams has scored a touchdown in four of his last five appearances.
• KaVontae Turpin has recorded 16+ receiving yards in eight of the Cowboys’ last nine games against NFC East opponents.
• KaVontae Turpin has recorded 27+ rushing and receiving yards in six of his last seven road appearances against NFC opponents.
• KaVontae Turpin ranked 1st in the NFL in kick return yards (1814) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Giants – two different players recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
• Giants – two different players recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
• Cowboys – 16 different players recorded at least one touchdown last season – equal-most in the NFL.
• Cowboys – two different players recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.

Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants Prediction

I’m on the over in this game. I think we get some fireworks in primetime to kick off the season, as this is a Cowboys unit that was given far too much credit last season despite not being very sharp on that side of the ball. On the other side, the Cowboys still have a potent attack and while I don’t think we see a 40-37 kind of game, I think this is still enough to get us up and over this total so give me the over.