Giants vs Vikings Prediction 12/21/25 NFL Picks Today

The Minnesota Vikings and the New York Giants meet Sunday in NFL action from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. Here’s a Giants vs Vikings prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Giants vs Vikings pick.

Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview

Minnesota went 3-2 in their first five games, losing to the Falcons and Steelers among wins over the Bears, Bengals and Browns. After the bye week, the Vikings hit a rough 2-6 run over the next eight games. Those wins were over the Lions and Commanders; otherwise it was losses to the Eagles, Chargers, Ravens, Bears, Packers and Seahawks in that time, giving Minnesota  5-8 record across their first 13 outings.

In the matchup with Dallas last weekend Minnesota held a one-point lead going into the final quarter. The Vikings hit a 10-3 run from there in a 34-26 win. JJ McCarthy had a 15-of-24 line for 250 yards, two scores and a pick. Aaron Jones led the rush on 34 yards from 12 carries and Jordan Addison added two catches for 66 yards as the team’s leading receiver.

New York Giants Betting Preview

Over on the Giants’ side, they opened the year at 2-4 overall with wins over only the Chargers and Eagles. Otherwise it was losses to the commanders, Cowboys, Chiefs and Saints in that time. New York would lose to the Broncos, Eagles, 49ers, Bears, Packers, Lions and Patriots in the next seven games heading into the bye week, giving the team a 2-11 record in their first 13 games.

Matched up against the Commanders on Sunday the Giants managed to score in each of the final three quarters but couldn’t overcome 19 points surrendered in the second on the way to a 29-21 loss. QB Jaxson Dart had a 20-of-36 line for 246 yards, two scores and a pick while Tyrone Tracy had 15 carries for 70 yards and a TD. Theo Johnson was the leading receiver with three catches for 72 yards in the losing effort.

Why the New York Giants will win

• The home team has won nine of the Giants’ last 10 Week 16 games.
• The Vikings have lost eight of their last nine road games against NFC East opponents on a losing streak.
• The Giants have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NFC North opponents.
• The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games following a win.
• The Vikings have lost the first quarter in each of their last three games as favorites following a win.
• The Vikings have lost the first half in four of their last five games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• The Giants have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six games as home underdogs.

Why the Minnesota Vikings will win

• The Vikings have won each of their last 11 games against starting rookie QBs.
• The Giants have lost each of their last 10 games without Kayvon Thibodeaux.
• The Vikings have covered the spread in each of their last six games in December.
• The Giants have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games without Kayvon Thibodeaux.
• The Giants have lost the first quarter in each of their last 10 December home games against NFC opponents.
• The favorites have won the first half in each of the Vikings’ last 10 Week 16 games.
• The Vikings have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games against the Giants.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last six Sunday games at MetLife Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Giants’ last nine games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Vikings’ last five Week 16 games have gone OVER the total points line.

New York Giants Player Prop Facts

• Jaxson Dart has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances with the Giants as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• Jaxson Dart has recorded 19+ completions in each of his last three appearances against NFC opponents.
• Daniel Bellinger has recorded 15+ receiving yards in each of the Giants’ last six December home games against NFC opponents.
• Jaxson Dart has recorded 54+ rushing yards in each of his last four home appearances.
• Tyrone Tracy has recorded 71+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Giants’ last four games against NFC opponents.
• Jameis Winston has recorded 277+ passing yards in each of his five previous Week 16 appearances.
• Gunner Olszewski has recorded the equal-most touchdown passes (1) of any player yet to record an interception.

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Mason has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Vikings’ last five games as favorites.
• Jordan Mason has recorded 38+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Vikings’ last seven games as favorites.
• T.J. Hockenson has recorded 27+ receiving yards in 14 of his last 15 December appearances.
• Aaron Jones has recorded 47+ rushing yards in nine of his last 10 December appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Heading into Week 16, Max Brosmer has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (4 vs Seahawks, Week 13).

Matchup/League Facts

• Giants – six different players have recorded multi-touchdown games this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 16.
• Giants – four different players have recorded 60+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 16.
• Vikings – five different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 16.
• Heading into Week 16, the Vikings have recorded the largest margin of victory in the NFL this season (38-points vs Cincinnati on September 21, 2025).

Giants vs Vikings Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Giants but I’m probably not touching this one. New York limped to another loss versus the Commanders last weekend despite holding Washington to just 3-of-11 on third downs alongside a couple of fumble recoveries. Even the Commanders’ 11 penalties didn’t help matters much. New York mustered 384 yards on offense with 22 first downs but went just 2-of-12 on third-down tries themselves. That makes eight straight losses for New York, but they’ve managed to be competitive in a handful of those.

As for the Vikes, they tallied 327 yards with 21 first downs and a rough 2-of-9 on third downs in their eight-point win over the Cowboys. Minnesota’s defense gave up 423 yards on the other side but held strong on third downs with a 2-of-12 success rate allowed. Minnesota has consecutive wins in the bag now, with 65 combined points in that pair. I could easily see the Vikings controlling this game from front to back.