Jets vs Falcons Prediction 11/30/25 NFL Picks Today

The Atlanta Falcons and the New York Jets meet Sunday in NFL action from MetLife Stadium. Here’s a Jets vs Falcons prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Jets vs Falcons pick.

Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview

Atlanta was able to stay above the .500 mark for their first five outings, taking out Minnesota, Washington and Buffalo during that time. Otherwise it was losses to Tampa Bay and Carolina. The Falcons began a losing streak on October 19 however, falling versus San Francisco, Miami, New England, Indianapolis and Carolina in the next five outings. That would give Atlanta a rough 3-7 record across their first 10 games this year.

In the New Orleans matchup on Sunday, the Falcons were up 16-7 by the end of the first half and held that margin into the fourth quarter. Atlanta would end up with a 24-10 win in the end. QB Kirk Cousins finished 16-of-23 for 199 yards, two scores and a pick. Bijan Robinson led the rush with 70 yards on 14 carries and Darnell Mooney had 74 yards and a score off three receptions in the victory effort for the Falcons.

New York Jets Betting Preview

Over on the Jets’ side, they opened up with a string of losses versus the Steelers, Bills, Buccaneers, Dolphins, Cowboys, Broncos and Panthers. New York would win consecutive games around their bye week, taking out the Bengals and browns, but then lost to the rival Patriots. Over the first 10 games New York could only muster a meager 2-8 record.

Matched up against the Ravens last weekend, the Jets surprisingly were ahead 7-3 by halftime. New York could only muster a field goal from there though, resulting in a 23-10 loss in the end. QB Tyrod Taylor had 222 yards with a TD and a pick on 17-of-28 passing, and Breece Hall had 16 carries for 44 yards. Hall was also the team’s leading receiver with 75 yards on four receptions in the loss.

Atlanta Falcons @ New York Jets Betting Trends: Week 13

Why the New York Jets will win

• The Falcons have lost five of their last six games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won each of the Jets’ last three games at MetLife Stadium.
• The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as road favorites following a road win.
• The Jets have covered the spread in each of their last five Sunday games as underdogs.
• The Jets have won the first half in seven of their last eight November home games against NFC opponents.
• The Falcons have lost the first quarter in each of their last four games as road favorites following a road win.

Why the Atlanta Falcons will win

• The Jets have lost each of their last 12 games against NFC South opponents.
• The road team has won each of the Falcons’ last nine Week 13 games.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Falcons’ last nine Week 13 games.
• The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games against NFC opponents.
• The Jets have won the first quarter in four of their last five games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
• The road team has won the first half in each of the Falcons’ last six Week 13 games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Falcons’ last eight Week 13 games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the Jets’ last six Week 13 home games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the last five Sunday games at MetLife Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 197+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances as a starter.
• Breece Hall has recorded 29+ receiving yards in each of the Jets’ last six home games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
• Breece Hall has recorded 90+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Jets’ last eight games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
• Breece Hall has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Justin Fields has recorded 46+ rushing yards in each of his last five appearances with his team as a home underdog against NFC opponents.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 23+ completions in three of his last four appearances as a starter.
• Heading into Week 13, Justin Fields ranks 1st in the AFC for TD:INT ratio (7.00) this season.

Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Bijan Robinson has scored a touchdown in each of the Falcons’ last five games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
• Bijan Robinson has recorded 86+ rushing yards in each of the Falcons’ last four November games as favorites.
• Kirk Cousins has recorded 220+ passing yards in 11 of his last 12 November appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Drake London has recorded 110+ receiving yards in each of his last four appearances on the East Coast.
• Darnell Mooney has recorded 68+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Falcons’ last five games as favorites following a win.
• Kirk Cousins has recorded 21+ completions in each of his nine previous Week 13 appearances.
• Heading into Week 13, Drake London is the only player in the NFL to record 100+ receiving yards in three or more consecutive games this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Jets – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 13.
• Heading into Week 13, the Jets rank 32nd in the NFL in passing yards per game (145.7) this season.
• Falcons – 14 different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 13.
• Heading into Week 13, the Falcons rank 32nd in the NFL in average kickoff return (22.3 yards) this season.

Jets vs Falcons Prediction

I’ll stick with the Falcons, but there’s not a lot to get excited about here. Atlanta played a pretty good game versus a struggling Saints team over the weekend, notching 302 yards and 5.5 yards per play on offense. The Falcons had just 13 first downs, nine team penalties and went only 3-of-12 on third downs, though. The defense held strong with 3.8 yards per play, 21 first downs and 5-of-16 on third downs allowed alongside a couple of takeaways. Atlanta has 23 or more points in four straight games but they’ve lost three of those matchups.

As for the Jets, they fell apart in the second half against a good Ravens team on Sunday. New York ended up with two turnovers, 282 yards, 15 first downs and 4-of-11 on third downs. The defense gave up just 241 yards with 16 first downs and 2-of-11 on third downs however. After a couple of good offensive efforts in a pair of wins, the Jets have just 24 combined points in their last two outings.