NY Jets vs Houston Texans Prediction 10-31-24 NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a NY Jets vs Houston Texans prediction for this NFL game on Thursday, October 31st at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 9  matchup.

NY Jets Betting Preview

The New York Jets are 2-6 this year after they lost to New England by a score of 25-22 in their last game. New York led 13-7 at halftime and 22-17 in the fourth quarter, but they allowed the game winning touchdown with 22 seconds left for the loss. The Jets out gained NE by a total of 336-247, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 4-10 on third down in the game. Aaron Rodgers threw for 233 yards and two touchdowns, while Breece Hall rushed for 80 yards on 16 carries. 

Prior to that game, the Jets lost to Pittsburgh, Buffalo, Minnesota, and Denver. The New York offense has scored 18.8 points per game with 224.5 passing yards and 86.1 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 21.3 points against per game this season. The Jets have gone 39.8% on third down and 1-5 on fourth down through eight games. Aaron Rodgers has completed 61.6% of his passes for 1,896 yards, 12 touchdowns, and seven interceptions, while Breece Hall has rushed for 428 yards and three scores. 

Houston Texans Betting Preview

The Houston Texans are 6-2 this season after they defeated the Colts by a score of 23-20 in their last game. Houston led 17-10 at halftime and 23-13 in the fourth, but they barely hung on for the win late in the game. The Texans out gained Indianapolis by a total of 363-303, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 4-13 on third down in the game. CJ Stroud threw for 285 yards and one touchdown, while Joe Mixon rushed for 102 yards and one score. 

Prior to that game, the Texans lost to Green Bay by a score of 24-22, but did beat New England, Buffalo, and Jacksonville before that. The Houston offense has scored 23.5 points per game with 232.5 passing yards and 118.9 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.4 points against per game this season. The Texans have gone 38.9% on third down and 5-8 on fourth down so far this season. CJ Stroud has completed 66.5% of his passes for 1,948 yards, 11 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Joe Mixon has rushed for 503 yards and five scores. 

Why the Texans will cover

• The Jets have lost four of their last five Thursday games as favorites.
• The Texans have won eight of their last nine games against AFC opponents.
• The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games following a Division game.
• The Texans have covered the spread in each of their last four October games as underdogs.
• The Texans have won the first half in each of their last eight games in October.
• The Texans have won the first quarter in three of their last four Week 9 games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The Texans have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games against the Jets.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Jets’ last eight home games against AFC South opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Texans’ last five October games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the last three Thursday games at MetLife Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

• Breece Hall has scored the first touchdown in three of the Jets’ last four October games as favorites.
• Davante Adams has scored at least one touchdown in eight of his last nine appearances against AFC South opponents.
• Braelon Allen has recorded 32+ rushing yards in four of the Jets’ last five games as favorites.
• Mike Williams has recorded 34+ receiving yards in each of his last six appearances with his team as a home favorite.
• Garrett Wilson has recorded 68+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Jets’ last five games as favorites following a road loss.
• Heading into Week 9, Breece Hall is one of only two players in the NFL to record 250 rushing yards and 250 receiving yards this season.

Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

• C.J. Stroud has thrown two or more touchdowns in three of the Texans’ last four road games against AFC opponents.
• C.J. Stroud has recorded 24+ completions in four of the Texans’ last five games against AFC opponents.
• C.J. Stroud has recorded 242+ passing yards in each of his five previous regular season appearances with the Texans as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• Joe Mixon has recorded 87+ rushing yards in each of his last four October appearances.
• Joe Mixon has recorded 117+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four appearances against AFC opponents.
• Joe Mixon has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his last eight road appearances.
• Nico Collins has recorded 78+ receiving yards in each of his last seven regular season appearances.
• Desmond King II is just one away from 10 career interceptions.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 9, the Jets rank 2nd in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (161.1) this season.
• Heading into Week 9, the Jets rank 31st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (20.0%) this season.
• Heading into Week 9, the Texans rank 1st in the NFL in time of possession per game (32:55) this season.
• Heading into Week 9, the Texans rank 1st in the NFL in H1 win percentage (87.5) this season.

NY Jets vs Houston Texans Prediction 

New York comes into this game as a slight favorite, despite losing five games in a row and looking like one of the worst teams in the NFL in the process. The Jets lost to the lowly Patriots last week and they are a mess on both sides of the ball. Houston only has two losses on the season, but they are dealing with injuries to key wide receivers. I am sure the Jets will turn things around at some point, but I have been burned by them way too many times so far this year and can’t take them until I see improvement. Take Houston here.