New England Patriots (1-1) vs. NY Jets (1-1)
September 19, 2024 8:15 pm EDT
The Line: NY Jets -6.5; Over/Under: +39
(Get latest betting odds)
The New England Patriots and New York Jets meet Thursday in week 3 NFL action at MetLife Stadium. Here’s a NY Jets vs New England Patriots Prediction. This article will include a NY Jets vs New England Patriots Pick.
New England Patriots Betting Preview
The New England Patriots beat the Bengals, lost to the Seahawks, and play the 49ers next. The New England Patriots have won 3 of their last 4 road games. Jacoby Brissett is completing 58.8 percent of his passes for 270 yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Hunter Henry and Austin Hooper have combined for 163 receiving yards on 13 catches, while KJ Osborn has 4 receptions.
The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 177.5 yards per contest, and Rhamondre Stevenson leads the way with 201 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 16.5 points and 291 yards per game. Kyle Dugger leads the New England Patriots with 15 tackles, Keion White has 4 sacks and Jahlani Tavai has 1 pass deflection.
New York Jets Betting Preview
The New York Jets lost to the 49ers, beat the Titans, and play the Broncos next. The New York Jets have split their last 6 home games. Aaron Rodgers is completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 343 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Garrett Wilson and Allen Lazard have combined for 217 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Breece Hall has 12 receptions.
The New York Jets ground game is averaging 84.5 yards per contest, and Hall leads the way with 116 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, New York is allowing 24.5 points and 350.5 yards per game. Jamien Sherwood leads the New York Jets with 16 tackles, Will McDonald IV has 3 sacks and Brandin Echols has 1 interception.
Why the New York Jets will win
- The Patriots have lost each of their last eight games played on the East Coast.
- The favorites have won each of the last eight games between the Patriots and Jets at MetLife Stadium.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Jets’ last four Week 3 games.
- The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven September games as underdogs.
- The Jets have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games as favorites against AFC East opponents.
- The Patriots have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games against AFC opponents.
- The favorites have won the first half in each of the Jets’ last five Week 3 games.
New York Jets Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Rodgers has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last six Thursday appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 21+ completions in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against AFC opponents.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 235+ passing yards in each of his last six Week 3 appearances.
- Breece Hall has recorded 114+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Jets’ last five games.
- Breece Hall has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Jets’ last five games.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 22+ rushing yards in four of his last five appearances at MetLife Stadium.
- Allen Lazard has recorded 35+ receiving yards in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
- Allen Lazard ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (2) this season.
New England Patriots Player Prop Facts
- Hunter Henry has scored at least one touchdown in five of his six previous Thursday road appearances.
- Jacoby Brissett has recorded 21+ completions in four of his last five September appearances against AFC opponents.
- Jacoby Brissett has recorded 215+ passing yards in three of his last four Week 3 appearances.
- Antonio Gibson has recorded 18+ rushing yards in eight of his last nine road appearances against AFC opponents.
- Antonio Gibson has recorded 31+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances on the East Coast.
- Austin Hooper has recorded 15+ receiving yards in each of his last nine September road appearances.
- Kyle Dugger is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Jets have scored the last touchdown in two consecutive games – the equal-longest streak in the league.
- The Jets have scored three or more touchdowns in two consecutive games – the equal-longest streak in the league.
- The Patriots rank T1st in the NFL in forced fumbles (3) this season.
- The Patriots rank T1st in the NFL in fumbles recovered (2) this season.
NY Jets vs New England Patriots Prediction
Laying a touchdown on Thursday night is crazy because these games are usually sloppy due to the lack of preparation. However, the Jets are coming home to a feisty crowd that will finally see Rodgers and company for the first time. I’m also not sure how the Patriots are going to move the ball against this Jets’ defense. Offensively, the Jets will become more consistent the more reps they get under their belt. I don’t have much confidence in the Patriots’ offense to beat above-average teams, especially on the road.
This feels like a game that the Jets can win by a touchdown, so staying just under 7 points is key. I’ll lay the points with the home team.
