NFL Picks

Odds to Win Super Bowl 58 in 2024

September 6, 2023 8:15 pm EDT

We are three months away from a new NFL season, and here you can check out early odds to Win Super Bowl 58.

Selection Odds
Kansas City Chiefs              +650
Philadelphia Eagles +800
Buffalo Bills +950
Cincinnati Bengals              +950
San Francisco 49ers +1000
Dallas Cowboys +1400
New York Jets                      +1400
Baltimore Ravens +1800
Miami Dolphins +1800
Detroit Lions +2500
Jacksonville Jaguars +2500
Los Angeles Chargers +2500
Seattle Seahawks +2800
Cleveland Browns +4500
Minnesota Vikings +4500
Green Bay Packers +5000
New England Patriots +5000
New Orleans Saints +5000
New York Giants +5000
Denver Broncos +5500
Las Vegas Raiders +5500
Atlanta Falcons +6600
Carolina Panthers +6600
Chicago Bears +6600
Los Angeles Rams +6600
Pittsburgh Steelers +6600
Tennessee Titans +8000
Washington Commanders +8000
Houston Texans +10000
Indianapolis Colts               +10000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10000
Arizona Cardinals +15000


NFL Super Bowl 58 Winner Prediction #1

Can the Chiefs defend the title?

The Kansas City Chiefs set up the latest dynasty in the NFL after years of the New England Patriots’ domination. Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes, and Travis Kelce make a “holy trinity” in KC, and that will not change for the next few years. The Chiefs won two Super Bowls in four years and are the biggest candidates to win again in 2024.

Kansas City had the best offense last year; the Chiefs led the NFL in points per game (29.2) and passing yards (297.8). I expect them to stay hot on offense because they have the two best players in the league at their respective positions. Over the last few seasons, Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce developed the most prolific quarterback-tight end duo in football, and they rarely miss games. I believe they will continue to dominate in the upcoming campaign. Also, Isiah Pacheco emerged as a starting running back in his rookie season following impressive displays. He took the offseason to have surgeries for a torn labrum and a broken hand and will be ready for the season opener in early September. I am backing him to reach a 1,000-yard mark in 2024 after recording 830 rushing yards with five touchdowns last year. That was impressive from a 7th-rounder from Rutgers.

The Chiefs have a somewhat inexperienced secondary, which was the main reason for their defense to display mediocre performances last year. L’Jarius Sneed, Trent McDuffie, and Jaylen Watson aren’t good enough, while the guys behind them in the depth chart have little or no experience. Luckily for the Chiefs, they have a high-octane offense to make up for it on the other end. Still, KC will likely exploit free agency and try to add a new face to the secondary. General manager Brett Veach is known for getting low-cost and low-risk cornerbacks, and if he fails to find one in free agency, he will probably look for one in a trade deal.

Kansas City upgraded its offensive line by bringing Jawaan Taylor and Donovan Smith for Orlando Brown Jr. and Andrew Wylie. Patrick Mahomes was sacked 26 times last season (1.52 sacks per game), but that number could be in the low-20s this time out. With an improved defense and a top 3 offense, I think the Chiefs have an excellent chance to win another Super Bowl. But, the potential payout is not great at +650, so you might look elsewhere to make a more substantial profit.

My Super Bowl Pick: Kansas City Chiefs


NFL Super Bowl 58 Winner Prediction #2

One more shot for Josh Allen and the Bills

The Buffalo Bills have been flirting with the Super Bowl in the last few years, but they couldn’t even win the AFC. Now, it seems that the window to win SB is slowly closing for them, and if the Bills don’t win it in 2024, they could hit a rebuild button. Buffalo had the second-best offense (28.4 ppg) and defense (17.9 ppg) last season. This offseason, they made some important personnel changes.

The Bills brought a power running back, Damien Harris, to jump in Devin Singletary’s place. They selected tight end Dalton Kincaid in the first round of the NFL draft and linebacker Dorian Williams (3rd round). Williams will replace Tremaine Edmunds, who left for the Chicago Bears and signed a four-year, $72 million contract. Defensive tackle Ed Oliver got a four-year extension worth $68 million, while Buffalo added pass rusher Leonard Floyd on a one-year deal. Floyd registered 29 sacks over three seasons with the Los Angeles Rams and is a big defensive boost for the Bills.

Buffalo needs to take a step forward and win the AFC for the first time since 1993. The Bills have the quality and experience. If you believe they can do it with extremely tough competition in the conference and win Super Bowl, back them at +950.

My Super Bowl Pick: Buffalo Bills


NFL Super Bowl 58 Winner Prediction #3

The Bengals have a chance to go all the way

Another team that never won the Super Bowl and has been around the top in the past couple of years is the Cincinnati Bengals. They made a surprise by winning the AFC in 2021 before losing the title game to the Los Angeles Rams. Cincy won back-to-back AFC North titles and is the biggest favorite to do it again this year. The Bengals ranked top 10 in offense (26.1 ppg) and defense (20.1 ppg) last season, and it looks like they will be stronger in the upcoming campaign.

Cincinnati already has one of the most exciting quarterbacks in the NFL – Joe Burrow, who combined for over 9,000 passing yards in the last two seasons. The former No. 1 pick overall has talented wideouts to work with – Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd, capable of combining for 3,000+ receiving yards. The Bengals bolstered their O-line by signing four-time Pro Bowl OT Orlando Brown Jr. to a four-year deal worth $64 million to provide more protection for Burrow. More quality is added on defense as well, as the Bengals used their first-round pick on defensive end Myles Murphy from Clemson. Cornerback Eli Apple, who rebuilt his career over the past two seasons in Cincy, is a free agent, and the team could decide to bring him back. The Bengals do have around $15 million in cap space.

Cincinnati’s offensive core is still under 27: Burrow (26), Mixon (26), Chase (23), and Higgins (24). Having already played in Super Bowl makes them experienced despite their young age. The defense looks stronger now, and I think the Bengals can bring the first title in the franchise’s history. If you share my opinion, make sure to back them at +950, as it is one of the best NFL Picks for the next season.

My Super Bowl Pick: Cincinnati Bengals


NFL Super Bowl 58 Winner Prediction #4

It’s a win-now for the Jets

The New York Jets brought a future Hall of Famer quarterback Aaron Rodgers in a blockbuster trade with the Green Bay Packers. They did splash the cash; Rodgers will earn $60 million this season and an additional $49.3 million if he returns for another year. Rodgers reunited with wide receivers Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb. But, one of the most vital offseason moves for the Jets was the appointment of Nathaniel Hackett as a new offensive coordinator. Hackett did a disastrous job as a head coach in Denver, but he was the best OC in the NFL when he and Rodgers worked together in Green Bay.

Wideout Mecole Hardman Jr. arrived from Kansas City, and running back Breece Hall is expected to make a full recovery from a knee injury he suffered midway through his rookie season last year. New York had one of the worst offenses the previous season (17.4 ppg), but that will definitely change in 2023-24. On the other hand, the Jets had one of the sturdiest defenses (18.6 ppg), and that D is pretty much unchanged.

The Jets could decide to cut veteran wide receiver, Corey Davis. The 2017 No. 5 pick fell down the depth chart and could add $11 million to cap space or land a future draft pick if New York trades him away. Even if Davis stays in the Big Apple, the Jets will have $23 million to spend during the summer. They did take a gamble with adding a 39-year-old Rodgers, but a former SB champion and four-time MVP is worth it. A potential payout is quite attractive, and backing the Jets to win Super Bowl at +1400 makes sense.

My Super Bowl Pick: New York Jets


NFL Super Bowl 58 Winner Prediction #5

Russell Wilson’s redemption season is on the cards

The Denver Broncos have been pretty irrelevant since their Super Bowl 50 win, but that could change this year. They went all-in to bring a nine-time Pro Bowl quarterback Russell Wilson in a massive trade with the Seattle Seahawks a year ago and gave up numerous draft picks in return. That move didn’t pay off in 2022, as Wilson had the worst season of his career.

While the defense played traditionally well, the offense was the weakest in the NFL, averaging miserable 16.9 points per game. All that with Wilson as a new QB and Nathaniel Hackett as a new head coach. Well, it can only be better this year. The Broncos hired the best available HC in Sean Payton, who is expected to get Wilson back on track. Payton already coached a veteran QB (Drew Brees) and led the New Orleans Saints to the Super Bowl 44 win, so Denver’s GM George Paton hopes for a similar scenario at Mile High.

The Broncos were active in the offseason; they strengthened the offensive line by bringing right tackle Mike McGlinchey and guard Ben Powers. Also, they replaced defensive end, Dre’Mont Jones, with Zach Allen. On offense, running back Samaje Perine came to serve as Javonte Williams’ backup. Williams, who missed the majority of last season with a knee injury, will make a full recovery this summer.

The rest of the offense looks pretty much the same as last year. It will be interesting to see whether Payton will trade wide receiver Jerry Jeudy. Jeudy did post the best numbers of his career last year and was just 28 yards shy of reaching a 1,000-yard mark. Payton prefers taller receivers as he earlier relied on catchers such as Jimmy Graham (6-foot-7), Michael Thomas (6-foot-3), and Marques Colston (6-foot-4). Denver already has tall pass-catchers to work with: Courland Sutton, Tim Patrick, and Greg Dulcich, all 6-foot-3 or taller.

The Broncos still have around $10 million left in their cap space, so they could use that money to make an additional move or two before the season kicks off. Returning to the playoffs for the first time since 2015 would be considered a successful campaign, but with one of the best head coaches and rejuvenated quarterback, the Broncos to win Super Bowl at +5500 is something to think about.

My Super Bowl Pick: Denver Broncos


Andrew's Free Pick: Cincinnati Bengals to Win Super Bowl

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Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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