Patriots vs Giants Prediction 12/1/25 NFL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Patriots vs Giants prediction for this NFL game on Monday, December 1st at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 13 matchup.

New England Patriots Betting Preview

The New England Patriots are 10-2 this season after they defeated Cincinnati by a score of 26-20 in their last game. New England trailed 10-0 in the second quarter, but they scored 23 of the next 26 points and survived on the last drive for the win. The Patriots out gained Cincinnati by a total of 392-307, went 5-13 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Drake Maye went 22-35 for 294 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while TreVeyon Henderson rushed 18 times for 66 yards. Hunter Henry led the receivers with seven receptions for 115 yards and one score in the win. 

Prior to that game, New England defeated the Jets by a score of 27-14 and the Buccaneers by a score of 28-23. The Patriots have won nine games in a row and they are currently first in the AFC East standings. New England has scored 26.5 points per game with 247.5 passing yards and 112.4 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 18.8 points against per game this season. Drake Maye has thrown for 3,130 yards, 21 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Stefon Diggs has 61 receptions for 679 yards and three scores on the season. 

New York Giants Betting Preview

The New York Giants are 2-10 this year after they lost to Detroit in overtime by a score of 34-27 last week. New York led 27-17 in the fourth quarter, but allowed Detroit to tie the game, before allowing a touchdown on the first play of overtime in the loss. The Giants out gained Detroit by a total of 517-494, went 8-16 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Jameis Winston went 18-36 for 366 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Tyrone Tracy Jr rushed 20 times for 62 yards. Wan’Dale Robinson led the receivers with nine catches for 156 yards and one touchdown in the loss. 

Prior to that game, New York lost to the Packers by a score of 27-20 and the Bears by a score of 24-20. The Giants have lost six games in a row and they are currently last in the NFC East standings. New York has scored 22.0 points per game with 224.0 passing yards and 124.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 27.8 points against per game this season. Jameis Winston has thrown for 567 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Wan’Dale Robinson has 66 receptions for 794 yards and three scores this year. 

Why the New England Patriots will win

• The Patriots have won each of their last nine games.
• The Giants have lost each of their last eight road games against AFC opponents on a winning streak.
• The Giants have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
• The Patriots have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as favorites following a road win.
• The Patriots have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight Monday games as favorites.
• The Patriots have won the first half in each of their last nine games.
• The Giants have won the first quarter in four of their last five games as heavy underdogs (>+7.0 points).

Total Points Facts

• Nine of the Giants’ last 10 road games played on the East Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Patriots’ last four home games against NFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

New England Patriots Player Prop Facts

• Hunter Henry has scored a touchdown in each of his five previous home appearances against NFC East opponents.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 38+ rushing yards in eight of his last nine appearances against NFC opponents.
• Drake Maye has recorded 259+ passing yards in 10 of the Patriots’ last 11 games following a win.
• Austin Hooper has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his last 10 home appearances.
• Stefon Diggs has recorded 51+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight Monday appearances.
• Heading into Week 13, Drake Maye ranks 1st in the NFL in passing yards (3130) this season.

New York Giants Player Prop Facts

• Jaxson Dart has scored at least one touchdown in each of his six previous appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Devin Singletary has recorded 36+ rushing yards in each of his eight previous December road appearances against AFC opponents.
• Theo Johnson has recorded 33+ receiving yards in five of the Giants’ last six road games.
• Devin Singletary has recorded 47+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 13 previous road appearances against AFC East opponents.
• Jameis Winston has recorded 268+ passing yards in each of his four previous Week 13 road appearances.
• Jameis Winston has recorded 21+ completions in eight of his last nine December road appearances.
• Jaxson Dart has four passing touchdowns through his first five career games – most by any player since J.J. McCarthy, (2025).

Matchup/League Facts

• Patriots – 14 different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 13.
• Patriots – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 13.
• Giants – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 13.
• Giants – 10 different players have recorded 50+ receiving yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 13.

Patriots vs Giants Prediction 

These two teams come into this matchup on opposite sides of the NFL standings, as the Patriots are one of the top teams in the NFL and they will be at home. New England has won nine games in a row and they have scored at least 26 points in four of their last five. New York has played better in their last three games against the Bears, Packers, and Lions, but they continue to find ways to lose. The Giants are expected to be without Dart once again, which means Winston will be back under center. We have seen some fight out of the Giants in recent games, but this New England team is a different beast, especially at home. Take the Patriots to cover here. 

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