Patriots vs Jets Prediction 11/13/25 NFL Picks Today

The New York Jets and New England Patriots meet Thursday in NFL action at Gillette Stadium. Here’s a Patriots vs Jets Prediction. This article will include a Patriots vs Jets Pick.

New York Jets Betting Preview

The New York Jets beat the Bengals and Browns, and play the Ravens next. The New York Jets have lost 13 of their last 17 games. Justin Fields is completing 63.5 percent of his passes for 1,143 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Garrett Wilson and Mason Taylor have combined for 641 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Breece Hall has 22 receptions.

The New York Jets ground game is averaging 141.8 yards per contest, and Breece Hall leads the way with 664 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, New York is allowing 26.8 points and 329 yards per game. Jamien Sherwood leads the New York Jets with 81 tackles, Will McDonald IV has 7 sacks and Brandon Stephens has 6 pass deflections.

New England Patriots Betting Preview

The New England Patriots beat the Falcons and Buccaneers, and play the Bengals next. The New England Patriots have won 7 straight games. Drake Maye is completing 71.7 percent of his passes for 2,555 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Stefon Diggs and Kayshon Boutte have combined for 985 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Hunter Henry has 30 receptions.

The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 117.7 yards per contest, and TreVeyon Henderson leads the way with 430 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 19.2 points and 306.2 yards per game. Robert Spillane leads the New England Patriots with 81 tackles, K’Lavon Chaisson has 6.5 sacks and Marcus Jones has 2 interceptions.

Why the New England Patriots will win

• The Jets have lost each of their last 12 road games against AFC East opponents on a winning streak.
• The Patriots have won each of their last 11 games against the Jets following a road win.
• The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight road games following a win.
• The Patriots have covered the spread in eight of their last nine November games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Patriots have won the first half in each of their last 11 Thursday games as favorites.
• The Patriots have scored the first touchdown in 10 of their last 11 Thursday games as favorites.
• The Jets have lost the first quarter in each of their last six games against AFC East opponents.

Why the New York Jets will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Jets’ last five games.
• The Patriots have lost five of their last eight games played as favorites on the East Coast.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Jets’ last five games.
• The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games following a win.
• The Jets have won the first quarter in each of their last four games as underdogs following a win.
• The Patriots have lost the first half in three of their last four games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Jets’ last seven road games against AFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Patriots’ last seven Week 11 games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Three of the last four Thursday games at Gillette Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

New England Patriots Player Prop Facts

• Stefon Diggs has scored at least one touchdown in five of his six previous appearances at Gillette Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
• Drake Maye has recorded 27+ rushing yards in each of the Patriots’ last five games following a road win.
• Drake Maye has recorded 259+ passing yards in eight of the Patriots’ last nine games following a win.
• Stefon Diggs has recorded 59+ receiving yards in each of his last nine Thursday appearances.
• Drake Maye has recorded 21+ completions in three of the Patriots’ last four games against AFC opponents.
• Stefon Diggs has recorded 59+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last nine Thursday appearances.
• Heading into Week 11, Drake Maye has the highest completion percentage in a single game (min. 10 ATT) this season (91.3% vs Titans, Week 7).

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

• Breece Hall has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Jets’ last four November games against AFC opponents.
• Breece Hall has recorded 24+ receiving yards in each of the Jets’ last six November games.
• Breece Hall has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Jets’ last eight games following a win.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 183+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances against the Patriots.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 23+ rushing yards in each of his last eight November road appearances.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 19+ completions in five of his last six appearances against the Patriots.
• Heading into Week 11, Nick Folk has recorded the equal-most made field goals without a failed attempt this season (19).

Matchup/League Facts

• Patriots – 14 different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 11.
• Patriots – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 11.
• Jets – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 11.
• Heading into Week 11, the Jets rank 32nd in the NFL in passing yards per game (143.8) this season.

Patriots vs Jets Prediction

Beating the Browns and Bengals doesn’t move the needle much for me, so I’m not saying the Jets turned their season around. The Patriots could easily blow the doors off in this spot with the way they’re winning and producing a 7-3 ATS record. However, I’m not excited about laying double-digit chalk on Thursday night, where teams don’t have much time to prepare or rest. This is also a division game where both sides know what the other wants to do. This will also be the first time since 2022 where the Patriots are double-digit favorites. Just too steep for me. Give me the Jets and the points.