Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders Prediction 1/4/26 NFL Picks Today

The Washington Commanders and the Philadelphia Eagles meet Sunday in NFL action from Lincoln Financial Field. Here’s an Eagles vs Commanders prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Eagles vs Commanders pick.

Washington Commanders Betting Preview

The Commanders opened the year on a 3-2 stretch with wins over the Giants, Raiders and Chargers. A losing streak came after that though, as Washington fell to the Bears, Cowboys, Chiefs, Seahawks, Lions, Dolphins, Broncos and Vikings before a win over the Giants. Since then it’s been losses to the Eagles and Cowboys, giving Washington a 4-12 overall record.

In their Christmas Day game versus Dallas, the Commanders managed to put up points in every quarter—but also gave up points in every quarter—during a 30-23 loss. QB Josh Johnson had 198 yards with 15-of-23 passing and lead rusher Jacory Croskey-Merritt had 105 yards and two scores off 11 carries. Deebo Samuel added two catches for 68 yards as well.

Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview

Over on the Philly side, they went into their bye week at a strong 6-2 with wins over the Cowboys, Chiefs, Rams, Buccaneers, Vikings and Giants in that time. The Eagles went 4-3 over the next seven games though, losing to Dallas, Chicago and the Rams amid wins over the Packers, Lions, Raiders and Commanders. That would give Philadelphia a 10-5 record in their first 15 outings.

Matched up against Buffalo on Sunday the Eagles were up 13-0 going into the final quarter. Philly gave up 12 unanswered points from there but held on for the tight road win 13-12. QB Jalen Hurts was 13-of-27 for 110 yards and a TD while Saquon Barkley had 19 carries for 68 yards rushing. Leading receiver AJ Brown had five catches for 68 yards in the win as well.

Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles Betting Trends: Week 18

Why the Philadelphia Eagles will win

• The Eagles have won each of their last 11 home games against NFC East opponents.
• The Commanders have lost 10 of their last 11 games.
• The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games without Terry McLaurin.
• The Eagles have covered the spread in each of their last four home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Eagles have won the first quarter in each of their last seven home games in January.
• The Eagles have scored the first touchdown in 18 of their last 19 Sunday games.
• The Eagles have won the first half in each of their last eight Sunday games.

Why the Washington Commanders will win

• The Commanders have won three of their last four January games as road underdogs.
• The Commanders have covered the spread in six of their last eight January games as underdogs.
• The road team has won the first quarter in four of the Commanders’ last five games.
• The Commanders have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six Sunday games at Lincoln Financial Field.
• The Commanders have won the first half in each of their last four games against the Eagles following a loss.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Eagles’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the last eight games between NFC East teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Commanders’ last four games without DeMarcus Walker have gone OVER the total points line.

Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Facts

• Saquon Barkley has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight appearances against the Commanders.
• Saquon Barkley has scored two or more touchdowns in four of his last five appearances against the Commanders.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 221+ passing yards in four of the Eagles’ last five home games against the Commanders.
• A.J. Brown has recorded 65+ receiving yards in each of the Eagles’ last six games against the Commanders.
• Tank Bigsby has recorded 21+ rushing yards in each of his last five home appearances against division opponents.
• Saquon Barkley has recorded 118+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances against the Commanders.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 17+ completions in nine of the Eagles’ last 10 games against the Commanders.
• Heading into Week 18, Jalen Hurts has the highest passer rating in a single game (min. 10 ATT) this season (158.3 vs Vikings, Week 7).

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

• Terry McLaurin has scored a touchdown in each of his last six appearances with the Commanders as underdogs against teams on a winning streak.
• Marcus Mariota has recorded 211+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances as a starter.
• Terry McLaurin has recorded 53+ receiving yards in seven of the Commanders’ last eight regular season games against the Eagles.
• Deebo Samuel has recorded 26+ rushing yards in four of his five previous January road appearances.
• Deebo Samuel has recorded 72+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last 10 regular season appearances against NFC East opponents.
• Jayden Daniels has recorded 22+ completions in each of his three previous appearances against the Eagles.
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt has four rushing touchdowns through his first five career games – most by any player since De’Von Achane, (2024).

Matchup/League Facts

• Eagles – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
• Eagles – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
• Commanders – five different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
• Heading into Week 18, the Commanders rank 32nd in the NFL in fumbles recovered (2) this season.

Eagles vs Commanders Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Eagles I suppose. Philly didn’t tally much in the way of offense against Buffalo in their last outing, notching 190 yards, 11 first downs and 3-of-13 on third-down attempts. Still, it was enough to win a low-scoring, defense-heavy road matchup and gives Philadelphia their third straight win.

The last time these teams met up was recently, in a 29-18 road win for the Eagles on December 20. Philadelphia managed 385 yards in that one with 207 rush yards, 5.8 yards per play and 26 first downs. On the other side Washington posted just 220 yards with 15 first downs and 2-of-10 on third-down tries. The Eagles should be comfortable at home in the rematch and I like them to control things well.