Eagles vs Commanders Prediction 9/13/26 NFL Picks Today

The Washington Commanders and the Philadelphia Eagles meet Sunday in NFL action from Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. Here’s an Eagles vs Commanders prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Eagles vs Commanders pick.

Washington Commanders Betting Preview

Washington was able to take care of business against the Miami Dolphins in their preseason opener this year, powering out a 20-7 victory. In game two against the Detroit Lions, the Commanders weren’t so fortunate. Washington was very close on the scoreboard the whole way but ended up with a 17-13 loss in the end. The Commanders were burned by just nine first downs, a 4-of-12 success rate on third-down tries, and 11 penalties for 84 yards in the defeat. The defense gave up 169 rush yards on the other side but did bag a couple of takeaways.

In their preseason finale versus the Baltimore Ravens on August 28, the Commanders were in trouble by halftime, facing a 24-0 deficit. Things only got worse from there as Washington limped to a 41-3 blowout defeat. QB Sam Hartman was 9-of-14 for 64 yards, and Craig Reynolds added 38 yards off nine carries. Lawrence Cager led the receivers with six grabs for 34 yards.

Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview

On the Eagles’ side, they gave up a couple of fourth-quarter touchdowns in their preseason opener versus the Baltimore Ravens on the way to a 24-7 loss. In game two versus the New England Patriots, Philadelphia was outscored 14-7 in the fourth quarter and lost the game 24-21. In that one, the Eagles collected 301 total yards (211 passing) and 5.1 yards per play, going a tepid 4-of-11 on third downs. The defense gave up 388 yards (248 passing) on the other side.

Matched up against the Cincinnati Bengals in their preseason finale on August 28, the Eagles managed to give up points in every quarter along the way to a 30-13 loss. Tanner McKee provided 55 yards and a pick on 12-of-22 passing, and Andy Dalton added 104 yards with a score on 12-of-19 passing. Dameon Pierce had four carries for 44 yards, and Carson Steele had 52 yards off eight catches.

Why the Philadelphia Eagles will win

• The Commanders have lost each of their last seven Week 1 road games against NFC East opponents.
• The Eagles have won 11 of their last 12 home games against NFC East opponents.
• The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games without Terry McLaurin.
• The Eagles have covered the spread in each of their last three games without DeVonta Smith.
• The Eagles have scored the first touchdown in 19 of their last 21 Sunday games.
• The Commanders have lost the first quarter in each of their last six road openers.
• The Commanders have lost the first half in each of their last six road openers.

Why the Washington Commanders will win

• The Eagles have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• The underdogs have won each of the Eagles’ last three games.
• The Eagles have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five September home games against NFC East opponents.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Eagles’ last four games.
• The road team has won the first quarter in each of the last four Week 1 games between the Commanders and Eagles.
• The road team has won the first half in each of the last five Week 1 games between the Commanders and Eagles.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last seven games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Commanders’ last nine road games in September have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the last eight games between the Commanders and Eagles have gone OVER the total points line.

Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Facts

• Jalen Hurts had the highest passer rating in a single game (min. 10 ATT) last season (158.3 vs Vikings, Week 7).

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

• Rachaad White ranked 1st in the NFC amongst qualified players for catch rate (88.9%) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Eagles – two different players recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game last season – tied for most in the NFL.
• Eagles – two different players recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
• Commanders – five different players recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
• The Commanders ranked 32nd in the NFL in yards allowed per game (384.3) last season.

Eagles vs Commanders Prediction

I’ll stay with the Eagles. Philly didn’t finish the preseason on a strong note, notching just 210 yards (140 passing), 3.6 yards per play, and 14 first downs in their defeat by the Bengals. The Eagles’ defense gave up 420 yards (211 rushing), 6.6 yards per play and 25 first downs on the other side. That said, Philadelphia is probably still in for a strong season in 2026. If everything breaks right, 12 or 13 wins isn’t unrealistic. The Eagles are certainly the team to beat in the NFC East.

As for Washington, they got pretty well destroyed in their final exhibition game versus the Ravens. The Commanders posted just 177 yards (102 passing), seven first downs, and a limp 1-of-12 success rate on third downs. The defense gave up 456 yards (261 passing) on the other side with 26 first downs. That doesn’t bode well for a Commanders team entering what will likely be another down year. Washington could flirt with the .500 mark if they stay healthy, but it’s going to be a long road.