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Pittsburgh Steelers vs LA Chargers Prediction 9-22-24 NFL Picks

LA Chargers (1-0) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0)
September 22, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5; Over/Under: 43.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Chargers and the Pittsburgh Steelers meet Sunday in NFL action from Acrisure Stadium. Here’s a Pittsburgh Steelers vs LA Chargers Prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Pittsburgh Steelers vs LA Chargers pick.

Los Angeles Chargers Betting Preview

The Chargers opened up the 2024 season with a home matchup versus the Las Vegas Raiders. Los Angeles was down 7-6 by halftime but rallied with 13 fourth-quarter points for a 22-10 win. QB Justin Herbert finished with 144 yards and a score, while JK Dobbins led the rush on 10 carries for 135 yards and a TD of his own.

In week two the Chargers took on the Carolina Panthers. In that one Los Angeles jumped out to a 20-0 edge by halftime and cruised to the win 26-3. Herbert logged 130 yards, two TDs, and a pick in the victory. Dobbins had 131 yards and a score off 17 carries.

Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview

Over on the Steelers’ side, they played the Atlanta Falcons in their first game of the year. Pittsburgh posted points in every quarter during an 18-10 victory featuring six field goals. Justin Fields went 17-of-23 for 156 yards. George Pickens caught six balls for 85 yards, and Najee Harris had 70 yards on 20 carries.

In Week 2 versus the Broncos, the Steelers were up 13-0 by the end of the third quarter and held on for the 13-6 victory. Fields had 117 yards and a touchdown this time. Leading the rush was Najee Harris with 69 yards off 17 carries.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Chargers’ last eight Sunday games has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Steelers’ last eight games as favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of the last five Sunday games at Acrisure Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

  • Najee Harris has scored a touchdown in four of the Steelers’ last five games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
  • Jaylen Warren has recorded 19+ rushing yards in each of the Steelers’ last 11 games following a win.
  • Jaylen Warren has recorded 30+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Steelers’ last 17 games against AFC opponents.
  • Jaylen Warren has recorded 13+ receiving yards in each of the Steelers’ last 14 games against AFC opponents.
  • Justin Fields has recorded 167+ passing yards in each of his last four Sunday appearances with his team as a home favorite.
  • Russell Wilson has thrown two or more touchdowns in eight of his last nine September appearances with his team as a home favorite.
  • Justin Fields has recorded 15+ completions in six of his last seven home appearances.
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick is just one away from 20 career interceptions.

Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts

  • Justin Herbert has recorded 217+ passing yards in each of his last nine appearances with the Chargers as underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • J.K. Dobbins has scored a touchdown in each of his last four Sunday appearances.
  • Gus Edwards has recorded 48+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight regular season road appearances against AFC North opponents.
  • Gus Edwards has recorded 56+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his five previous September road appearances.
  • Josh Palmer has recorded 39+ receiving yards in each of his last 10 appearances with the Chargers as underdogs.
  • Justin Herbert has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of the Chargers’ last three September games as underdogs.
  • Justin Herbert has recorded 21+ completions in each of the Chargers’ last 12 games as underdogs following a win.
  • J.K. Dobbins ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing yards (266) this season.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs LA Chargers Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Chargers. LA posted another strong effort in the win over Carolina last weekend. The offense came up with 349 yards (219 rushing) and 21 first downs but did have a couple of turnovers. The Chargers held the Panthers to just 159 yards on defense (69 passing), seven first downs, and only 1-of-12 on third-down conversions.

As for Pittsburgh, they rode a nice defensive effort in the win over Denver. The Steelers notched two takeaways and held the Broncos to just 13 first downs with 2-of-12 on third-down tries. The Pittsburgh offense wasn’t spectacular however (251 total yards; 110 passing) and the team committed 10 penalties for 78 yards. I’m not sure the Steelers can hold up against LA’s passing attack well enough to win/cover, even at home.

Andrew's Free Pick: Los Angeles Chargers +1.5

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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