Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints 11/13/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Pittsburgh Steelers and New Orleans Saints do battle Sunday in week 10 NFL action from Acrisure Stadium.

The New Orleans Saints will try to rebound from a 27-13 loss to Baltimore last time out to fall to 3-6 on the year. Andy Dalton has thrown for 1,385 yards, 10 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 65.3% passing while Alvin Kamara leads the Saints on the ground with 443 rushing yards and Taysom Hill has 343 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. Chris Olave leads the Saints with 43 catches for 618 receiving yards while Kamara has 319 receiving yards and another pair of Saints have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Pete Werner has a team-high 74 total tackles including 53 solo tackles. Demario Davis has a team-high 6 sacks while Cameron Jordan has 5 sacks. Tyrann Mathieu also has a pair of interceptions this season for New Orleans.

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be out to rebound from a 35-13 loss to Pittsburgh before their bye week last week, sitting at 2-6 entering this game. Kenny Pickett has thrown for 962 yards, 2 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 67.9% passing while Najee Harris leads the Steelers in rushing with 361 rushing yards this season. Diontae Johnson leads Pittsburgh with 43 grabs for 372 receiving yards while George Pickens and Pat Freiermuth each have 300+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Myles Jack has a team-high 72 total tackles including 43 solo tackles while Alex Highsmith has a team-high 6.5 sacks and Minkah Fitzpatrick has 3 interceptions this season.

New Orleans is 38-17 ATS in their last 55 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games following an ATS win. Pittsburgh is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a losing record while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 home games.

I get the reasoning for backing or fading either side in this game, but I’m looking at the under here. I’ve clamored for Kenny Pickett to be Pittsburgh’s starting QB and I own that, but there’s also some acceptance that there will be growing pains as he gets more and more comfortable. The problem is that’s not right now. On the other side, I’m not backing the Saints with Andy Dalton running the offense as he continues to struggle to lead the Saints at a top level. I think this is going to be a slopfest for 60 minutes with a lot of mucking around between the 20s. Give me the under.