Ravens vs Bills Prediction 11/1/26 NFL Picks Today
Baltimore Ravens (4-3) vs. Buffalo Bills (5-1)
November 1, 2026 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Buffalo Bills -3; Over/Under: 54.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Ravens vs Bills Prediction
In this Ravens vs Bills Prediction for this NFL Week 7 matchup on Sunday, November 1st, the Bills are coming as -3.5 home favorites. The Bills have been the better team with just one defeat this season and a 4-2 against the spread record, having the best offense in all football. On the flip side, the Ravens are coming off back-to-back losses and have been terrible against the spread with a 1-5 against the spread record and have scored just 23 points in their last two games combined. They also have a bad history against the Bills, as they are 1-4 in their lats 5 head-to-head meetings and 1-1-3 ATS, so the price is more than reasonable for the Bills at home. Take the Bills and lay the -3.5 at home.
Buffalo Bills Preview
The Buffalo Bills have a 5-1 record this season are sitting on the 1st place of the AFC East. They have a 2-1 home record and are 4-2 against the spread and 5-1 in over/under. They are coming off a 33-30 road win against the Raiders and will face the Vikings, the Jets and the Dolphins next.
Offensively, the Bills average 32.8 points per game, ranking 1st in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 28.5 points per game, which is 30th. Buffalo averages 387.7 total yards per game (238.8 passing and 148.8 rushing), while allowing 386.8 total yards per game (101 rushing and 285.8 passing). They average 6.5 yards per play, while allowing 5.6 yards per play to opponents. They score on 57.1% of their offensive drives, ranking 1st in the NFL, while averaging 3.17 points per drive, which also ranks 1st. Defensively, they allow opponents to score on 46.8% of drives, ranking 2nd, while allowing 2.76 points per drive, which ranks 32nd. Offensively, they have turned the ball over 9 times, ranking 22nd, while defensively, they have forced 6 turnovers, ranking 21st, giving them a -3 net turnover margin.
Josh Allen leads the Bills with 1504 passing yards with 66.7% completed passes and nine touchdowns. James Cook leads the team in rushing yards with 627, while Dalton Kincaid has 23 receptions for a team-high 315 receiving yards. Defensively, Dorian Williams has a team-high 46 total tackles (21 of them solo), while Gregory Rousseau leads the team in sacks, with 6.
Injury Report:
- C.J. Gardner-Johnson (Reserve-Sus, Suspension) – Est. return Nov 9
- Ed Oliver (Questionable, Knee) – Est. return Nov 1
- Tyrell Shavers (PUP-R, Knee – ACL) – Est. return Nov 9
- Dalton Kincaid (Questionable, Chest) – Est. return Nov 1
- DJ Moore (Questionable, Shoulder – AC Joint) – Est. return Nov 1
Baltimore Ravens Preview
The Baltimore Ravens have a 4-3 record this season are sitting on the 4th place of the AFC North. They have a 3-1 road record and are 2-5 against the spread and 4-3 in over/under. They are coming off a 13-35 home loss against the Bengals and will face the Jaguars, the Chargers and the Panthers next.
Offensively, the Ravens average 24.1 points per game, ranking 12th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 23.9 points per game, which is 18th. Baltimore averages 366.4 total yards per game (224.7 passing and 141.7 rushing), while allowing 317.4 total yards per game (96.6 rushing and 220.9 passing). They average 5.9 yards per play, while allowing 5.3 yards per play to opponents. They score on 40.3% of their offensive drives, while averaging 2.19 points per drive. Defensively, they allow opponents to score on 40.5% of drives, while allowing 2.14 points per drive. Offensively, they have turned the ball over 5 times, while defensively, they have forced 6 turnovers, giving them a +1 net turnover margin.
Lamar Jackson leads the Ravens with 967 passing yards with 70.8% completed passes and six touchdowns. Derrick Henry leads the team in rushing yards with 579, while Zay Flowers has 40 receptions for a team-high 608 receiving yards. Defensively, Roquan Smith has a team-high 55 total tackles (24 of them solo), while Tavius Robinson leads the team in sacks, with 3.5.
Injury Report:
- Roquan Smith (Questionable, Knee) – Est. return Nov 1
- Adam Randall (IR-R, Neck) – Est. return Nov 1
- Kyle Hamilton (Questionable, Knee) – Est. return Oct 28
- Lamar Jackson (Questionable, Ankle) – Est. return Nov 1
- John Simpson (Questionable, Groin) – Est. return Nov 1
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills Betting Trends: Week 8
Why the Buffalo Bills will win
- The Bills have won each of their last 18 home games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Ravens have lost six of their seven previous November road games against AFC East opponents.
- The home team has covered the spread in eight of the last nine games between the Ravens and Bills.
- The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Bills have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven Week 8 games.
- The Bills have won the first quarter in each of their last six Week 8 games.
- The Bills have won the first half in 11 of their last 12 home games against teams that held a winning record.
Why the Baltimore Ravens will win
- The Ravens have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
- The Bills have lost four of their last five games without Dawson Knox.
- The Bills have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Week 8 home games.
- The road team has covered the spread in seven of the Bills’ last eight Week 8 games.
- The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five day games against the Bills.
- The underdogs have won the first quarter in seven of the Bills’ last eight games.
- The Ravens have won the first half in each of their last six day games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Ravens’ last seven games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Bills’ last six home games without Dawson Knox have gone UNDER the total points line.
Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts
- Josh Allen has scored two or more touchdowns in each of the Bills’ last five home games against teams that held a winning record.
- James Cook has recorded 95+ rushing yards in each of the Bills’ last four games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Josh Allen has recorded 253+ passing yards in five of the Bills’ last six games against AFC opponents.
- James Cook has recorded 102+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bills’ last six home games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Josh Allen has recorded 21+ completions in nine of the Bills’ last 10 day games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Dawson Knox has recorded 17+ receiving yards in each of the Bills’ last seven November games.
- Josh Allen has scored at least one touchdown in 10 of the Bills’ last 11 home games against teams that held a winning record.
- Heading into Week 8, Josh Allen ranks T1st in the NFL in rushing touchdowns (8) this season.
Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts
- Derrick Henry has scored two touchdowns in five of his last six regular season appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Zay Flowers has recorded 84+ receiving yards in each of his last five appearances with Lamar Jackson as the starting quarterback.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 84+ rushing yards in each of the Ravens’ last four road games played on the East Coast.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 102+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight November appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
- Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in 14 of his last 15 appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Tyler Huntley has recorded 201+ passing yards in three of his last four Sunday appearances with the Ravens as underdogs.
- Tyler Huntley has recorded 23+ completions in three of his last four Sunday appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Heading into Week 8, Derrick Henry ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing attempts (147) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Bills – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 8.
- Bills – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 8.
- Ravens – 10 different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 8.
- Heading into Week 8, the Ravens are the only team to give up multiple 10+ point 2nd quarter leads to lose this season.

