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Ravens vs Browns Prediction 11/16/25 NFL Picks Today

Ravens vs Browns
November 16, 2025 4:25 pm EDT
The Line: Ravens -8.5 / Over/Under: 41.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Ravens vs Browns Prediction for this NFL Week 11 game on Sunday, November 16th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Cleveland Browns Preview

The Cleveland Browns have a 2-7 record this season and are sitting fourth in the AFC North. They are 3-6 ATS, 5-4 in Over/Under and have a 2-2 home record and a 0-5 away record. The Browns are coming off a 20-27 road loss against the New York Jets and will face the Raiders, 49ers and Titans next.

Offensively, the Browns average 16.2 points per game, ranking 29th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 23.4 points per game, which is 17th. Cleveland averages 238.6 total yards per game (151.2 passing and 87.4 rushing), while allowing 238.4 total yards per game (88.1 rushing and 150.3 passing).

Dillon Gabriel leads the Browns with 869 passing yards with 58.6% completed passes and seven touchdowns. Quinshon Judkins leads the team in rushing yards with 405, while Harold Fannin has a team-high 42 receptions for 396 receiving yards, and two touchdowns. Defensively, Carson Schwesinger has a team-high 74 total tackles (30 of them solo), while Myles Garrett leads the team in sacks, with 11.0, while Denzel Ward has one interception.

Baltimore Ravens Preview

The Baltimore Ravens have a 4-5 record this season and are sitting second in the AFC North. They are 4-5 ATS, 5-4 in Over/Under and have a 2-3 home record and a 2-2 away record. The Ravens are coming off a 27-19 road win against the Minnesota Vikings and will face the Jets, Bengals and Steelers next.

Offensively, the Ravens average 25.4 points per game, ranking 10th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 26.1 points per game, which is 25th. Baltimore averages 286.9 total yards per game (163.3 passing and 123.6 rushing), while allowing 335.4 total yards per game (110.9 rushing and 224.5 passing).

Lamar Jackson leads the Ravens with 1249 passing yards with 70.1% completed passes and 15 touchdowns. Derrick Henry leads the team in rushing yards with 487, while Zay Flowers has a team-high 50 receptions for 625 receiving yards, and five touchdowns. Defensively, Roquan Smith has a team-high 64 total tackles (43 of them solo), while Roquan Smith leads the team in sacks, with 3.0, while Malaki Starks has two interceptions.

Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns Betting Trends: Week 11

 

Why the Cleveland Browns will win

  • The Browns have won seven of their last eight home games in November.
  • The Ravens have lost three of their last four games as road favorites against AFC North opponents.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of the Browns’ last four games.
  • The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games at Huntington Bank Field against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Browns have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four Week 11 home games.
  • The Ravens have lost the first quarter in each of their last four November games as favorites.
  • The Browns have won the first half in each of their last four Week 11 home games.

Why the Baltimore Ravens will win

  • The Browns have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • The Ravens have won 27 of their last 29 games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Browns have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Ravens’ last five games.
  • The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games as road favorites against AFC North opponents.
  • The Browns have lost the first quarter in six of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The favorites have won the first half in each of the last 12 games between the Ravens and Browns.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of the Browns’ last nine home games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Eight of the Ravens’ last nine games as road favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of the last six Sunday games at Huntington Bank Field have gone UNDER the total points line.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

  • Harold Fannin Jr. has recorded 36+ receiving yards in each of the Browns’ last six games against AFC opponents.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 36+ rushing yards in each of his last four November appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Cedric Tillman has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four home appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Cedric Tillman has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five appearances with the Browns as underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 275+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home underdog.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 25+ completions in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home underdog.
  • Heading into Week 11, Myles Garrett ranks T1st in the NFL in sacks (11.0) this season.

Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts

  • Isaiah Likely has recorded 26+ receiving yards in 10 of the Ravens’ last 11 games following a road win.
  • Lamar Jackson has recorded 45+ rushing yards in 10 of the Ravens’ last 11 games as road favorites against AFC North opponents.
  • Mark Andrews has scored a touchdown in each of the Ravens’ last six games following a road win.
  • Derrick Henry has recorded 121+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Ravens’ last five regular season road games against AFC opponents.
  • Lamar Jackson has recorded 236+ passing yards in three of the Ravens’ last four road games against AFC North opponents.
  • Lamar Jackson has recorded 22+ completions in three of the Ravens’ last four road games against AFC North opponents.
  • Heading into Week 11, Lamar Jackson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for passer rating (127.1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Heading into Week 11, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in 1st downs against (141) this season.
  • Heading into Week 11, the Browns have suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 10+ points this season (4).
  • Ravens – four different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 11.
  • Ravens – three different players have recorded 70+ rushing yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 11.

Ravens vs Browns Prediction

Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings but the Browns are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Cleveland.  Their last four meetings have gone over the total.

In this Ravens vs Browns Prediction, the Ravens are coming as -8.5-point road favorites, with the total set at 41.5 points. The Browns have been bad this season and in terrible form lately, with a 1-5 record in their last 6 games and 3-6 against the spread this season. On the flip side, the Ravens have three consecutive wins and while their defense has been struggling this season, they allow just 14.5 points per game in their last four. Take the Baltimore Ravens and lay the points on the road today.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Baltimore Ravens -8.5

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