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Ravens vs Packers Prediction 12/27/25 NFL Picks Today

Baltimore Ravens (7-8) vs. Green Bay Packers (9-5-1)
December 27, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Green Bay Packers -3; Over/Under: 40.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Ravens vs Packers Prediction for this NFL Week 17 game on Saturday, December 27th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Green Bay Packers Preview

The Green Bay Packers have a 9-5-1 record this season and are sitting second in the NFC North. They are 5-9-1 ATS, 7-7-1 in Over/Under and have a 5-2 home record and a 4-3-1 away record. The Packers are coming off a 16-22 away loss against the Chicago Bears and will face the Vikings next.

Offensively, the Packers average 24.3 points per game, ranking 12th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 20.2 points per game, which is 9th. Green Bay averages 344.7 total yards per game (222.7 passing and 122 rushing), while allowing 301.6 total yards per game (103.8 rushing and 197.8 passing).

Jordan Love leads the Packers with 3381 passing yards with 66.3% completed passes and 23 touchdowns. Josh Jacobs leads the team in rushing yards with 926, while Romeo Doubs has a team-high 52 receptions for 662 receiving yards, and six touchdowns. Defensively, Quay Walker has a team-high 116 total tackles (52 of them solo), while Micah Parsons leads the team in sacks, with 12.5, while Evan Williams has a team-high 3 interceptions.

Baltimore Ravens Preview

The Baltimore Ravens have a 7-8 record this season and are sitting second in the AFC North. They are 5-10 ATS, 9-6 in Over/Under and have a 3-6 home record and a 4-2 away record. The Ravens are coming off a 24-28 home loss against the New England Patriots and will face the Steelers next.

Offensively, the Ravens average 23.9 points per game, ranking 14th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 23.2 points per game, which is 17th. Baltimore averages 325 total yards per game (177.1 passing and 147.9 rushing), while allowing 351.6 total yards per game (108.9 rushing and 242.7 passing).

Lamar Jackson leads the Ravens with 2311 passing yards with 63.7% completed passes and 18 touchdowns. Derrick Henry leads the team in rushing yards with 1253, while Zay Flowers has a team-high 78 receptions for 1043 receiving yards, and two touchdowns. Defensively, Roquan Smith has a team-high 124 total tackles (74 of them solo), while Tavius Robinson leads the team in sacks, with 3, while Nate Wiggins and Marlon Humphrey each have 3 interceptions.

Baltimore Ravens @ Green Bay Packers Betting Trends: Week 17

 

Why the Green Bay Packers will win

  • The Packers have won each of their last 10 games as favorites without Luke Musgrave.
  • The Ravens have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Packers’ last five Week 17 games.
  • The Packers have won the first quarter in each of their last four Week 17 games.
  • The Packers have won the first half in each of their last eight December home games against AFC opponents.
  • The Packers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six home games against AFC opponents.

Why the Baltimore Ravens will win

  • The Ravens have won each of their last nine games against NFC opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Packers have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a loss.
  • The Ravens have covered the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs before a Division game.
  • The Packers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games in December.
  • The Ravens have won the first quarter in seven of their last eight December games against NFC opponents.
  • The Ravens have won the first half in each of their last seven Week 17 games.
  • The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in 14 of their last 17 games following a home loss.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Ravens’ last five games without Isaiah Likely have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Packers’ last five Week 17 games have gone OVER the total points line.

Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts

  • Emanuel Wilson has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Packers’ last four home games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Luke Musgrave has recorded 22+ receiving yards in each of the Packers’ last four games.
  • Heading into Week 17, Lucas Havrisik has recorded the most made field goals without a failed attempt this season (4).

Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts

  • Mark Andrews has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four December appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Derrick Henry has recorded 94+ rushing yards in each of the Ravens’ last five December games.
  • Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in 10 of his last 11 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has recorded 33+ receiving yards in each of his 14 previous December appearances with his team as a road underdog.
  • Derrick Henry has recorded 100+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Ravens’ last five December games.
  • Heading into Week 17, Derrick Henry is the only player to have recorded 1000+ rushing yards in each of the last four seasons. (including 2025).

Matchup/League Facts

  • Packers – six different players have recorded multi-touchdown games this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.
  • Packers – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.
  • Ravens – five different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.
  • Ravens – four different players have recorded 60+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.

Ravens vs Packers Prediction

In this Ravens vs Packers Prediction, the Packers are coming as -3-point home favorites. The Packers have a slightly better overall record but both teams have almost identical home/away splits, with just two losses each. Neither team has been in good form lately, as the Packers have back-to-back losses and are 2-5-1 against the spread in their last 8 games, while the Ravens are 1-3 in their last 4 games and 1-5 against the spread in their last 6. I see no value on either side, but both teams average 48.2 points per game combined, while allowing 43.4 points per game defensively. Both numbers are higher than today’s total set at just 40.5 points, so take the over the total in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Over 40.5

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