Ravens vs Steelers Prediction 1/4/26 NFL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Ravens vs Steelers Prediction for this NFL Week 17 game on Sunday, January 4^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Pittsburgh Steelers Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 9-7 record this season and are sitting first in the AFC North. They are 9-7 ATS, 8-7-1 in Over/Under and have a 6-2 home record and a 3-5 away record. The Steelers are coming off a 6-13 away loss against the Cleveland Browns.

Offensively, the Steelers average 23.2 points per game, ranking 15th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 22.7 points per game, which is 15th. Pittsburgh averages 300.4 total yards per game (196.9 passing and 103.5 rushing), while allowing 356.8 total yards per game (111.6 rushing and 245.3 passing).

Aaron Rodgers leads the Steelers with 3028 passing yards with 65.6% completed passes and 23 touchdowns. Jaylen Warren leads the team in rushing yards with 892, while D.K. Metcalf has a team-high 59 receptions for 850 receiving yards, and six touchdowns. Defensively, Payton Wilson has a team-high 123 total tackles (73 of them solo), while Alex Highsmith leads the team in sacks, with 8.5, while Brandin Echols, Jack Sawyer and Kyle Dugger each have two interceptions.

Baltimore Ravens Preview

The Baltimore Ravens have an 8-8 record this season and are sitting second in the AFC North. They are 8-8 ATS, 10-6 in Over/Under and have a 5-3 home record and a 3-5 away record. The Ravens are coming off a 41-24 away win against the Green Bay Packers.

Offensively, the Ravens average 25 points per game, ranking 11th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 23.3 points per game, which is 18th. Baltimore averages 330.5 total yards per game (172.7 passing and 157.8 rushing), while allowing 352.3 total yards per game (133.1 rushing and 219.3 passing).

Lamar Jackson leads the Ravens with 2311 passing yards with 63.7% completed passes and 18 touchdowns. Derrick Henry leads the team in rushing yards with 1469, while Zay Flowers has a team-high 82 receptions for 1073 receiving yards, and three touchdowns. Defensively, Roquan Smith has a team-high 127 total tackles (75 of them solo), while Mike Green leads the team in sacks, with 13, while Malaki Starks has five interceptions.

Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends: Week 18

Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Ravens’ last four games at Acrisure Stadium.
• The Ravens have lost each of their last three games as favorites without Kyle Van Noy.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in eight of the Ravens’ last nine games at Acrisure Stadium.
• The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games without Tyler Huntley.
• The Steelers have won the first half in each of their last eight Sunday games at Acrisure Stadium.
• The underdogs have won the first quarter in three of the Steelers’ last four games.
• The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five games against AFC North opponents.

Why the Baltimore Ravens will win

• The road team has won eight of the Ravens’ last nine games.
• The Steelers have lost 12 of their last 15 games without T.J. Watt.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Ravens’ last six games.
• The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as home underdogs following a Division game.
• The Ravens have won the first half in each of their last six games against the Steelers following a road win.
• The Steelers have won the first quarter in each of their last two games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
• The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six Sunday games at Acrisure Stadium.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Steelers’ last nine home games against AFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Ravens’ last eight games against the Steelers following a win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total points line.

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

• Jaylen Warren has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Steelers’ last four games as underdogs.
• Jaylen Warren has recorded 52+ rushing yards in four of the Steelers’ last five games against AFC North opponents.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 263+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances against the Ravens.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 21+ completions in eight of his last nine appearances against AFC North opponents.
• Jaylen Warren has recorded 16+ receiving yards in each of the Steelers’ last eight games against the Ravens.
• Jaylen Warren has recorded 62+ rushing and receiving yards in 10 of the Steelers’ last 11 regular season games against AFC North opponents.
• Derrick Harmon has two sacks through his first five career games – most by any player since Jalen Carter, (2023).

Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts

• Derrick Henry has scored two or more touchdowns in each of the Ravens’ last three games against teams that held a winning record.
• Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of his six previous January appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Zay Flowers has recorded 68+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Ravens’ last 10 Sunday games as favorites.
• Tyler Huntley has recorded 186+ passing yards in three of his last four appearances as a starter.
• Zay Flowers has recorded 53+ receiving yards in each of his last 12 Sunday appearances with the Ravens as favorites.
• Derrick Henry has recorded 84+ rushing yards in seven of the Ravens’ last eight road games against AFC opponents.
• Tyler Huntley has recorded 17+ completions in three of his last four appearances as a starter.
• Heading into Week 18, Derrick Henry is the only player to have recorded 10+ total touchdowns in each of the last four seasons. (including 2025).

Matchup/League Facts

• Steelers – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
• Steelers – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
• Ravens – five different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
• Ravens – five different players have recorded 60+ rushing yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.

Ravens vs Steelers Prediction

In this Ravens vs Steelers Prediction, the Ravens are coming as -3.5-point road favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records this season and similar home/away splits, as they both have five home/away wins. The Steelers have been in better form lately, as they are 3-1 both straight up and against the spread in their last 4 games, while on the other hand, the Ravens are 2-3 in their last 5 and 2-5 against the spread in their last 7. Both teams’ seasons are on the line in this game and I like the value of the Steelers as underdogs in front of their home crowd in this spot. Take the Steelers and get the +3.5 points in this one.