Saints vs Vikings Prediction 10/11/26 NFL Picks Today

The Minnesota Vikings and New Orleans Saints meet Sunday in NFL action at Caesars Superdome. Here’s a Saints vs. Vikings Prediction. This article will include a Saints vs. Vikings Pick.

Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview

The Minnesota Vikings beat the Buccaneers and Dolphins, and they play the Colts next. The Minnesota Vikings look for their first 5-0 start since the 2024 season. Kyler Murray is completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 433 yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. T.J. Hockenson and Justin Jefferson have combined for 374 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Jordan Addison has 11 receptions.

The Minnesota Vikings’ ground game is averaging 106.8 yards per contest, and Aaron Jones Sr. leads the way with 297 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 12.8 points and 289.3 yards per game. Blake Cashman leads the Minnesota Vikings with 33 tackles, Dallas Turner has 5.5 sacks, and Byron Murphy Jr. has 1 interception.

New Orleans Saints Betting Preview

The New Orleans Saints lost to the Raiders and Falcons, and they play the Giants next. The New Orleans Saints have lost 4 of their last 5 games. Tyler Shough is completing 67.2 percent of his passes for 1,203 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Juwan Johnson and Chris Olave have combined for 723 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Devaughn Vele has 21 receptions.

The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 88.5 yards per contest, and Travis Etienne Jr. leads the way with 128 yards on 30 carries. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 32 points and 360.3 yards per game. Jonas Sanker leads the New Orleans Saints with 26 tackles, Chase Young has 3.5 sacks, and Julian Blackmon has 1 interception.

Why the New Orleans Saints will win

• The Saints have won each of their last seven Week 5 home games.
• The Vikings have lost four of their last five games without Andrew Van Ginkel.
• The Saints have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games in October.
• The Saints have won the first half in eight of their last 10 Week 5 games against NFC opponents.
• The underdogs have won the first quarter in three of the Saints’ last four Week 5 games.

Why the Minnesota Vikings will win

• The Vikings have won each of their last nine games.
• The Saints have lost each of their last eight games following a home loss.
• The Saints have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven October games as underdogs.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Saints’ last six games.
• The Saints have lost the first half in 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs.
• The Vikings have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last 10 Week 5 games.
• The Saints have lost the first quarter in each of their last six games following a home loss.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Vikings’ last seven games as favorites without Carson Wentz have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Saints’ last eight games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of the last seven Sunday games at Caesars Superdome have gone UNDER the total points line.

New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts

• Devaughn Vele has scored a touchdown in each of the Saints’ last two games against NFC opponents.
• Kendre Miller has recorded 27+ rushing yards in three of his last four appearances with the Saints as underdogs following a loss.
• Juwan Johnson has recorded 53+ receiving yards in each of the Saints’ last seven games.
• Heading into Week 5, Chase Young ranks T2nd in the NFC for sacks (3.5) this season.

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

• Kyler Murray has recorded 220+ passing yards in seven of his last eight October appearances with his team as a favorite.
• T.J. Hockenson has recorded 43+ receiving yards in eight of his last nine October appearances against NFC opponents.
• Kyler Murray has recorded 22+ completions in five of his last six October road appearances against NFC opponents.
• Odell Beckham Jr. has scored a touchdown in each of his last three regular season appearances against NFC South opponents.
• Audric Estime has recorded 12+ rushing yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Audric Estime has recorded 18+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six appearances following a win.
• Heading into Week 5, Will Reichard ranks 1st in the NFL in made field goals (12) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 5, the Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in points allowed per game (32.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 5, the Saints rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage against (0.0%) this season.
• Vikings – three different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
• Heading into Week 5, the Vikings rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (12.8) this season.

Saints vs Vikings Prediction

The Saints are falling off a cliff defensively, and the offense still has major issues in terms of the offensive line and ground game. The Saints can’t protect, aren’t opening up running lanes, Etienne is hurt, and Shough is having issues with pressure. None of that is ideal with this aggressive Vikings defense under Brian Flores that loves to blitz and create havoc. It also looks like JJ will be back for the Vikings. The line is soft. This is a bad matchup for the Saints given their OL issues. Give me the Vikings.