Steelers vs Browns Prediction 12/28/25 NFL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Steelers vs Browns Prediction for this NFL Week 17 game on Sunday, December 28^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Cleveland Browns Preview

The Cleveland Browns have a 3-12 record this season and are sitting fourth in the AFC North. They are 6-9 ATS, 8-7 in Over/Under and have a 2-6 home record and a 1-6 away record. The Browns are coming off a 20-23 home loss against the Buffalo Bills and will face the Bengals next.

Offensively, the Browns average 16.4 points per game, ranking 31st in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 23.7 points per game, which is 20th. Cleveland averages 266.3 total yards per game (169.4 passing and 96.9 rushing), while allowing 277.8 total yards per game (113.7 rushing and 164.1 passing).

Shedeur Sanders leads the Browns with 1103 passing yards with 55.1% completed passes and 6 touchdowns. Quinshon Judkins leads the team in rushing yards with 827, while Harold Fannin has a team-high 70 receptions for 701 receiving yards, and five touchdowns. Defensively, Carson Schwesinger has a team-high 147 total tackles (64 of them solo), while Myles Garrett leads the team in sacks, with 22, while Devin Bush Jr., Ronnie Hickman and Carson Schwesinger each have 2 interceptions.

Pittsburgh Steelers Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 9-6 record this season and are sitting first in the AFC North. They are 8-7 ATS, 9-6 in Over/Under and have a 5-3 home record and a 4-3 away record. The Steelers are coming off a 29-24 away win against the Detroit Lions and will face the Ravens next.

Offensively, the Steelers average 24.3 points per game, ranking 11th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 23.3 points per game, which is 18th. Pittsburgh averages 301.0 total yards per game (199.3 passing and 101.7 rushing), while allowing 363.1 total yards per game (113.9 rushing and 249.2 passing).

Aaron Rodgers leads the Steelers with 2860 passing yards with 66.6% completed passes and 23 touchdowns. Jaylen Warren leads the team in rushing yards with 582, while D.K. Metcalf has a team-high 59 receptions for 850 receiving yards, and six touchdowns. Defensively, Payton Wilson has a team-high 118 total tackles (70 of them solo), while T.J. Watt leads the team in sacks, with 7.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns Betting Trends: Week 17

Why the Cleveland Browns will win

• The home team has won each of the last eight games between the Steelers and Browns.
• The Steelers have lost each of their last four December games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the last eight games between the Steelers and Browns.
• The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 December games as favorites against AFC North opponents.
• The Steelers have lost the first quarter in nine of their last 10 December games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• The home team has won the first half in each of the last six games between the Steelers and Browns.
• The Browns have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six home games against the Steelers.

Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win

• The Browns have lost each of their last nine games against AFC opponents on a winning streak.
• The Steelers have won 13 of their last 14 December games against the Browns.
• The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games as underdogs without Cedric Tillman.
• The Steelers have covered the spread in six of their last seven Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Steelers have won the first quarter in each of their last four games against AFC North opponents.
• The Browns have lost the first half in each of their last 12 Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six games as favorites against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Steelers’ last 11 games as road favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Browns’ last six games without Isaiah McGuire have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the last five Sunday games at Huntington Bank Field have gone OVER the total points line.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

• Harold Fannin Jr. has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Browns’ last three home games.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 275+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 25+ rushing yards in each of his last four December appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Cedric Tillman has recorded 22+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances against AFC North opponents.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 25+ completions in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Heading into Week 17, Myles Garrett ranks 1st in the NFL in sacks (22.0) this season.

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

• Jaylen Warren has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Steelers’ last four Sunday games.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 20+ completions in 10 of his last 11 appearances against AFC North opponents.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 244+ passing yards in each of his last nine road appearances against AFC North opponents.
• Jaylen Warren has recorded 45+ rushing yards in each of the Steelers’ last five games as favorites against AFC North opponents.
• Jaylen Warren has recorded 13+ receiving yards in each of the Steelers’ last 10 road games against AFC North opponents.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 26+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
• Heading into Week 17, Chris Boswell ranks T1st in the AFC for 50+ yard field goals made (8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 17, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (164.1) this season.
• Heading into Week 17, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in total punt yards (3712) this season.
• Steelers – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.
• Steelers – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.

Steelers vs Browns Prediction

In this Steelers vs Browns Prediction, the Steelers are coming as -4-point road favorites. The Steelers have been the better team this season, as the Browns have just 3 wins in 15 games played and only two wins at home. They are 1-7 in their last 8 games and 1-3 against the spread, while the Steelers have won and covered their last three games. The Browns have the second-worst offense in the league and are scoring 7.9 points per game fewer than the Steelers, so I like the guests to win and cover this one. Take the Steelers and lay the -4 on the road.