Steelers vs Chargers Prediction 11/9/25 NFL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Steelers vs Chargers Prediction for this NFL Week 10 game on Sunday, November 9^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Los Angeles Chargers Preview

The Los Angeles Chargers have a 6-3 record this season and are sitting second in the AFC West. They are 3-5-1 ATS, 5-4 in Over/Under and have a 3-2 home record and a 3-1 away record. The Chargers are coming off a 27-20 away win against the Tennessee Titans and will face the Jaguars, Raiders and Eagles next.

Offensively, the Chargers average 23.9 points per game, ranking 17th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 21.4 points per game, which is 12th. Los Angeles averages 374.6 total yards per game (250.6 passing and 124.0 rushing), while allowing 286.8 total yards per game (109.7 rushing and 177.1 passing).

Justin Herbert leads the Chargers with 2390 passing yards with 67.7% completed passes and 18 touchdowns. Omarion Hampton leads the team in rushing yards with 314, while Keenan Allen has a team-high 50 receptions for 520 receiving yards, and four touchdowns. Defensively, Daiyan Henley has a team-high 61 total tackles (30 of them solo), while Tuli Tuipulotu leads the team in sacks, with 7.0. Tony Jefferson leads the team with two interceptions.

Pittsburgh Steelers Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 5-3 record this season and are sitting first in the AFC North. They are 4-4 ATS, 5-3 in Over/Under and have a 4-1 home record and a 1-2 away record. The Steelers are coming off a 27-20 home win against the Indianapolis Colts and will face the Bengals, Bears and Bills next.

Offensively, the Steelers average 25.3 points per game, ranking 12th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 24.4 points per game, which is 21st. Pittsburgh averages 288.1 total yards per game (200.9 passing and 87.3 rushing), while allowing 383.8 total yards per game (105.5 rushing and 278.3 passing).

Aaron Rodgers leads the Steelers with 1692 passing yards with 68.7% completed passes and 17 touchdowns. Jaylen Warren leads the team in rushing yards with 404, while D.K. Metcalf has a team-high 29 receptions for 467 receiving yards, and five touchdowns. Defensively, Payton Wilson has a team-high 71 total tackles (45 of them solo), while T.J. Watt leads the team in sacks, with 5.0. Payton Wilson, Jalen Ramsey, T.J. Watt, DeShon Elliott, Joey Porter Jr., Brandin Echols, Nick Herbig and Jack Sawyer have one interception each.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Los Angeles Chargers Betting Trends: Week 10

Why the Los Angeles Chargers will win

• The Chargers have won each of their last six games as favorites against AFC North opponents.
• The Steelers have lost five of their last six games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road games.
• The Chargers have covered the spread in five of their last six games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Chargers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games against AFC North opponents.
• The Steelers have lost the first quarter in each of their last 10 November games against AFC West opponents.
• The Chargers have won the first half in each of their last 11 November games as home favorites against AFC opponents.

Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win

• The Steelers have won eight of their last 10 Sunday games as underdogs.
• The Chargers have lost three of their last four Sunday games as home favorites.
• The Steelers have covered the spread in each of their last eight games played on the West Coast.
• The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five Sunday games.
• The Chargers have lost the first quarter in four of their last five Sunday games as favorites.
• The Steelers have won the first half in each of their last six Sunday games.
• The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five Week 10 games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Chargers’ last four games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the Steelers’ last seven games in California have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the last six Sunday games at SoFi Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts

• Keenan Allen has recorded 44+ receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances at SoFi Stadium.
• Justin Herbert has recorded 250+ passing yards in eight of the Chargers’ last nine regular season games against AFC opponents.
• Quentin Johnston has scored a touchdown in each of the Chargers’ last four November games as favorites.
• Quentin Johnston has recorded 45+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight Sunday appearances.
• Justin Herbert has recorded 29+ rushing yards in each of the Chargers’ last five home games against AFC North opponents.
• Justin Herbert has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Chargers’ last three games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 10, Justin Herbert has recorded the equal-most pass attempts in a single game this season (55 vs Colts, Week 7).

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

• Jonnu Smith has scored a touchdown in five of his last six road appearances.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 45+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six appearances with his team as a road underdog.
• Kenneth Gainwell has recorded 22+ rushing yards in three of the Steelers’ last four Sunday games.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 45+ receiving yards in each of his last six appearances with his team as a road underdog.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 238+ passing yards in 19 of his last 25 appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last four appearances against AFC West opponents.
• Derrick Harmon has two sacks through his first five career games – most by any player since Jalen Carter, (2023).

Matchup/League Facts

• Chargers – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 10.
• Chargers – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 10.
• Steelers – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 10.
• Steelers – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 10.

Steelers vs Chargers Prediction

The Steelers are 6-3 in their last 9 meetings against the Chargers and are 2-1 in their last 3 visits in LA.

In this Steelers vs Chargers Prediction, the Chargers are coming as -3-point home favorites, with the total set at 45 points. Both teams have been in good form lately, as they are 3-1 and 4-2 in their recent games and both average 49.2 points per game, which is way higher that the total set at 45 for this game. Both teams are 6-1 to the over in their last 7 games combined and both defenses have not been that good either, allowing 45.8 points per game combined. Take the over 45 in this one.