Steelers vs Lions Prediction 12/21/25 NFL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Steelers vs Lions Prediction for this NFL Week 13 game on Sunday, December 21^st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Detroit Lions Preview

The Detroit Lions have a 8-6 record this season and are sitting third in the NFC North. They are 7-7 ATS, 9-5 in Over/Under and have a 5-2 home record and a 3-4 away record. The Lions are coming off a 34-41 away loss against the Los Angeles Rams and will face the Vikings and Bears next.

Offensively, the Lions average 30.6 points per game, ranking 1st in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 24.6 points per game, which is 23rd. Detroit averages 379.9 total yards per game (248.8 passing and 131.1 rushing), while allowing 337.9 total yards per game (106.7 rushing and 231.1 passing).

Jared Goff leads the Lions with 3672 passing yards with 69.3% completed passes and 29 touchdowns. Jahmyr Gibbs leads the team in rushing yards with 1100, while Amon-Ra St. Brown has a team-high 94 receptions for 1140 receiving yards, and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Jack Campbell has a team-high 143 total tackles (77 of them solo), while Aidan Hutchinson leads the team in sacks, with 9.5, while Kerby Joseph has a team-high 3 interceptions.

Pittsburgh Steelers Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 8-6 record this season and are sitting first in the AFC North. They are 7-7 ATS, 7-6-1 in Over/Under and have a 5-3 home record and a 3-3 away record. The Steelers are coming off a 28-15 home win against the Miami Dolphins and will face the Browns and Ravens next.

Offensively, the Steelers average 24 points per game, ranking 13th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 23.3 points per game, which is 18th. Pittsburgh averages 288.1 total yards per game (195.6 passing and 92.5 rushing), while allowing 363.3 total yards per game (120.9 rushing and 242.4 passing).

Aaron Rodgers leads the Steelers with 2594 passing yards with 66.8% completed passes and 22 touchdowns. Jaylen Warren leads the team in rushing yards with 685, while D.K. Metcalf has a team-high 55 receptions for 808 receiving yards, and six touchdowns. Defensively, Payton Wilson has a team-high 113 total tackles (66 of them solo), while T.J. Watt leads the team in sacks, with 7, while Brandin Echols has a team-high 2 interceptions.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Detroit Lions Betting Trends: Week 16

Why the Detroit Lions will win

• The Lions have won each of their last 12 home games following a loss.
• The Steelers have lost each of their last eight road games without T.J. Watt.
• The Lions have covered the spread in 14 of their last 15 games as favorites following a loss.
• The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Lions have won the first quarter in four of their last five home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Lions have scored the first touchdown in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites following a loss.
• The Lions have won the first half in 14 of their last 15 games as favorites following a loss.

Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win

• The Steelers have won each of their last seven road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Lions have lost three of their last four games as home favorites when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Lions have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Steelers have covered the spread in each of their last four games as road underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Lions have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games as home favorites.
• The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five games.
• The Steelers have won the first half in 10 of their last 11 Sunday games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Lions’ last seven December games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Steelers’ last nine December games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the last eight Sunday games at Ford Field have gone OVER the total points line.

Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts

• Jahmyr Gibbs has scored the last touchdown in three of the Lions’ last four games following a loss.
• Jahmyr Gibbs has scored two or more touchdowns in each of the Lions’ last six home games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Jared Goff has recorded 271+ passing yards in each of the Lions’ last seven December games.
• Jared Goff has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Lions’ last six December home games.
• Jahmyr Gibbs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Lions’ last 10 games as favorites following a loss.
• David Montgomery has recorded 32+ rushing yards in 23 of his 24 previous December appearances.
• Kalif Raymond has recorded 12+ receiving yards in each of his last 10 home appearances against AFC opponents.
• David Montgomery has recorded 59+ rushing and receiving yards in 12 of his 13 previous December home appearances.
• Heading into Week 16, Jared Goff has recorded the equal-most passing touchdowns in a single game this season (5 vs Bears, Week 2).

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

• D.K. Metcalf has scored a touchdown in each of his last five appearances against NFC opponents.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last six appearances in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 273+ passing yards in six of his last seven road appearances against the Lions.
• Adam Thielen has recorded 25+ receiving yards in each of his last 16 December appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
• Calvin Austin has recorded 17+ rushing and receiving yards in 12 of his last 13 road appearances.
• Jaylen Warren has recorded 48+ rushing yards in five of his last six appearances following a win.
• Derrick Harmon has two sacks through his first five career games – most by any player since Jalen Carter, (2023).

Matchup/League Facts

• Lions – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 16.
• Lions – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 16.
• Steelers – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 16.
• Steelers – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 16.

Steelers vs Lions Prediction

In this Steelers vs Lions Prediction, the Lions are coming as -7-point home favorites. Both teams have identical overall records this season but the Lions have been very good at home, while the Steelers are mediocre on the road. Detroit has been unstable lately, as it is alternating wins and losses for the past 10 games and are 1-4 against the spread in its last 5 games and is facing a Pittsburgh team that has back-to-back wins and has won both of its two visits in Chicago historically. I expect the guests to keep this one close, so take the Steelers and get the +7 points in this one.