Steelers vs Texans Prediction 1/12/26 NFL Picks Today

The Houston Texans and Pittsburgh Steelers meet Monday in the NFL Wild Card at Acrisure Stadium. Here’s a Steelers vs Texans Prediction. This article will include a Steelers vs Texans Pick.

Houston Texans Betting Preview

The Houston Texans beat the Colts and Chargers. The Houston Texans have won 9 straight games. C.J. Stroud is completing 64.5 percent of his passes for 3,041 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Nico Collins and Dalton Schultz have combined for 1,894 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Jayden Higgins has 41 receptions.

The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 108.9 yards per contest, and Woody Marks leads the way with 703 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 17.4 points and 277.2 yards per game. Azeez Al-Shaair leads the Houston Texans with 103 tackles, Danielle Hunter has 15 sacks and Calen Bullock has 4 interceptions.

Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers lost to the Browns and beat the Ravens. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won 4 of their last 5 games. Aaron Rodgers is completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 3,322 yards, 24 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. DK Metcalf and Pat Freiermuth have combined for 1,336 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Kenneth Gainwell has 73 receptions.

The Pittsburgh Steelers ground game is averaging 103.3 yards per contest, and Jaylen Warren leads the way with 958 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Pittsburgh is allowing 22.8 points and 356.9 yards per game. Payton Wilson leads the Pittsburgh Steelers with 126 tackles, Alex Highsmith has 9.5 sacks and Brandin Echols has 2 interceptions.

Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win

• The Steelers have won 23 of their last 24 Monday home games.
• The Texans have lost each of their six previous road postseason games.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the Texans’ last eight games.
• The Texans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road postseason games.
• The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six Monday home games.
• The underdogs have won the first quarter in three of the last four games between the Texans and Steelers.
• The Steelers have won the first half in each of their last five games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).

Why the Houston Texans will win

• The Texans have won each of their last nine games.
• The Steelers have lost each of their last six postseason games.
• The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six postseason games.
• The Texans have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games without Nico Collins.
• The Texans have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five games as road favorites.
• The Texans have won the first quarter in each of their last two games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Texans have won the first half in each of their last seven games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Steelers’ last five games without Cameron Heyward have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Texans’ last four road games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

• D.K. Metcalf has scored the last touchdown in each of his three previous Wild Card Round appearances.
• Jaylen Warren has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Steelers’ last five games as underdogs.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 21+ completions in each of his last six home appearances against AFC South opponents.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 210+ passing yards in each of his last 10 postseason appearances.
• D.K. Metcalf has recorded 59+ receiving yards in each of his four previous postseason appearances.
• Jaylen Warren has recorded 68+ rushing yards in each of the Steelers’ last four games following a home win.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 26+ rushing and receiving yards in 15 of his last 17 appearances following a win.
• Aaron Rodgers has thrown zero interceptions in seven consecutive games (including playoffs) – longest streak in the NFL, heading into the Wild Card Round.

Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

• Christian Kirk has recorded 26+ receiving yards in eight of his nine previous appearances against AFC North opponents.
• C.J. Stroud has recorded 242+ passing yards in each of his last three appearances with the Texans as road favorites.
• Christian Kirk has recorded 26+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his nine previous appearances against AFC North opponents.
• Joe Mixon has recorded 65+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a road favorite.
• Joe Mixon has scored at least one touchdown in each of his four previous appearances with the Texans as road favorites.
• Davis Mills has recorded 22+ completions in four of his last five appearances as a starter.
• Nico Collins has recorded 50+ receiving yards in nine consecutive games (including playoffs) – longest streak in the NFL, heading into the Wild Card Round.

Matchup/League Facts

• Steelers – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into the Wild Card Round.
• Steelers – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into the Wild Card Round.
• The Texans ranked 1st in the NFL in yards allowed per game (277.2) during the reg. season.
• The Texans ranked 1st in the NFL in 1st downs against (276) during the reg. season.

Steelers vs Texans Prediction

It’s not often you get a home dog in the playoffs, and the Steelers are enticing. Rodgers has been there done that in the playoffs, he’s getting DK back, and Acrisure Stadium isn’t an easy place to play. However, the Steelers have had issues offensively all year, as they can’t run the ball, Rodgers is slow in the pocket, and the receivers have separation issues. Going up against a Texans side that’s first in total defense and second in scoring defense isn’t going to help.

The Texans have the best defense in the league, and I don’t see the Steelers scoring much. Also, these Steelers aren’t exactly your pops Steelers defensively, as its 26th in total defense, 29th against the pass and 17th in scoring. This feels like a spot where the Texans will feast defensively and bully the Steelers to victory. It might not be pretty, but the Texans have the best unit on the field by a long shot. I’ll lay the points.