Steelers vs Vikings Prediction 9/28/25 NFL Picks Today

The Minnesota Vikings and Pittsburgh Steelers meet Sunday in NFL action at Croke Park. Here’s a Steelers vs Vikings Prediction. This article will include a Steelers vs Vikings Pick.

Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview

The Minnesota Vikings beat the Bengals, lost to the Falcons, and they play the Browns next. The Minnesota Vikings have won 11 of their last 13 regular season games. Carson Wentz is completing 70 percent of his passes for 173 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Justin Jefferson and Jalen Nailor have combined for 296 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while T.J. Hockenson has 9 receptions.

The Minnesota Vikings ground game is averaging 122.3 yards per contest, and Jordan Mason leads the way with 214 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 18.7 points and 271.3 yards per game. Ivan Pace Jr. leads the Minnesota Vikings with 26 tackles, Andrew Van Ginkel has 2 sacks and Isaiah Rodgers has 1 interception.

Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Patriots, lost to the Seahawks, and play the Browns next. The Pittsburgh Steelers have split their last 12 games. Aaron Rodgers is completing 65.1 percent of his passes for 586 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Jaylen Warren and DK Metcalf have combined for 277 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Calvin Austin III has 8 receptions.

The Pittsburgh Steelers ground game is averaging 63 yards per contest, and Jaylen Warren leads the way with 132 yards on 43 carries. Defensively, Pittsburgh is allowing 25.7 points and 386 yards per game. Patrick Queen leads the Pittsburgh Steelers with 24 tackles, T.J. Watt has 2 sacks and Nick Herbig has 1 interception.

Minnesota Vikings @ Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends: Week 4

Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win

• The Steelers have won six of their last seven Sunday games as underdogs.
• The Steelers have covered the spread in six of their last seven Sunday games as underdogs.
• The underdogs have won the first quarter in each of the Steelers’ last six Week 4 games.
• The Vikings have lost the first half in three of their last four games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
• The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in six of their last seven games against NFC North opponents.

Why the Minnesota Vikings will win

• The Vikings have won each of their last six games against AFC opponents.
• The Steelers have lost seven of their last eight Week 4 games against NFC opponents.
• The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games.
• The Vikings have covered the spread in six of their last seven games in September.
• The Steelers have lost the first quarter in nine of their last 10 games.
• The favorites have won the first half in eight of the Steelers’ last nine games.
• The Vikings have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games against AFC North opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Vikings’ last four games against AFC North opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Steelers’ last 10 September games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

• D.K. Metcalf has scored a touchdown in four of his last five Sunday appearances.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 20+ completions in 12 of his last 13 appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 225+ passing yards in each of his last six Week 4 appearances.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 45+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 45+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Heading into Week 4, Aaron Rodgers has recorded the equal-longest completion in a single game this season (65 yards vs Seahawks, Week 2).

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

• Justin Jefferson has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Vikings’ last four Week 4 games.
• Carson Wentz has recorded 225+ passing yards in 10 of his last 11 September appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Carson Wentz has recorded 21+ completions in 12 of his 14 previous September appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Cam Akers has recorded 19+ rushing yards in each of his last seven September appearances.
• Adam Thielen has recorded 26+ receiving yards in 16 of his last 17 appearances with the Vikings as favorites following a win.
• Cam Akers has recorded 19+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven September appearances.
• Heading into Week 4, Eric Wilson ranks T2nd in the league for forced fumbles (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Steelers – three different players have recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
• Heading into Week 4, the Steelers rank T1st in the NFL in fumbles recovered (5) this season.
• Vikings – one different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
• Vikings – two different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.

Steelers vs Vikings Prediction

The Vikings are the more trustworthy team because of their aggressive defense that’s top-10 in total defense and scoring defense. However, the Vikings have quarterback issues, and I’m not excited about backing Wentz in the favorite role, even if the Steelers have been underwhelming defensively.

The Steelers haven’t looked great overall despite a 2-1 record, but there’s talent on other sides of the ball and I still trust Rodgers over whatever the Vikings have leading their offense. Also, these games across the pond can be a real sin flip. You don’t know which team is going to handle the travel better or how the field holds up. I’ll take my chances with the Steelers and the points.