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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction 9-29-24 NFL Picks

Philadelphia Eagles (2-1) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1)
September 29, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2.5; Over/Under: +45
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Eagles and Tampa Bay Buccaneers meet Sunday in week 4 NFL action at Raymond James Stadium. Here’s a Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles Pick.

Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Eagles lost to the Falcons, beat the Saints, and they play the Browns next. The Philadelphia Eagles have split their last 8 road games. Jalen Hurts is completing 70.6 percent of his passes for 772 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert have combined for 478 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while A.J. Brown has 5 receptions.

The Philadelphia Eagles ground game is averaging 167.3 yards per contest, and Saquon Barkley leads the way with 351 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Philadelphia is allowing 21 points and 339.3 yards per game. Zack Baun leads the Philadelphia Eagles with 37 tackles, Milton Williams has 1 sack and Reed Blankenship has 2 interceptions.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Lions, lost to the Broncos, and they play the Falcons next. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 4 of their last 6 home games. Baker Mayfield is completing 74.4 percent of his passes for 637 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Chris Godwin and Mike Evans have combined for 373 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Rachaad White has 12 receptions.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 91 yards per contest, and Bucky Irving leads the way with 154 yards on 25 carries. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 20.7 points and 371.3 yards per game. Jamel Dean leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 28 tackles, SirVocea Dennis has 1 sack and Zyon McCollum has 1 interception.

Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win

  • The Buccaneers have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Eagles have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the Eagles’ last eight games.
  • The Eagles have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as road favorites.
  • The Buccaneers have won the first quarter in four of their last five September games as underdogs.
  • The Eagles have lost the first half in each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five games against the Eagles.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts

  • Baker Mayfield has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Buccaneers’ last five games as underdogs following a loss.
  • Baker Mayfield has recorded 283+ passing yards in four of the Buccaneers’ last five games in Florida.
  • Chris Godwin has recorded 77+ receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last four Sunday regular season games as home underdogs.
  • Baker Mayfield has recorded 15+ rushing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last four games against NFC opponents.
  • Rachaad White has recorded 93+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last eight games following a loss.
  • Mike Evans has scored the last touchdown in each of the Buccaneers’ last three regular season games as underdogs against NFC East opponents.
  • Mike Evans has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Buccaneers’ last five regular season games against NFC East opponents.
  • Baker Mayfield has recorded 25+ completions in three of the Buccaneers’ last four games following a home loss.
  • Chris Godwin ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (3) this season.

Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Facts

  • Jalen Hurts has thrown two or more touchdowns in five of the Eagles’ last six Sunday games as favorites.
  • Saquon Barkley has scored two or more touchdowns in three of his last four September appearances.
  • Jalen Hurts has recorded 243+ passing yards in each of the Eagles’ last six September road games against NFC opponents.
  • Parris Campbell has recorded 21+ receiving yards in each of his last five Sunday appearances with his team as a favorite.
  • Saquon Barkley has recorded 81+ rushing yards in five of his six previous appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
  • Saquon Barkley has recorded 116+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his six previous appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
  • Jalen Hurts has scored at least one touchdown in 15 of his last 18 appearances following a win.
  • Saquon Barkley has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four appearances.
  • Jalen Hurts has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Eagles’ last six road games against NFC South opponents.
  • Saquon Barkley ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing yards (351) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Buccaneers rank 32nd in the NFL in sacks (2.0) this season.
  • The Buccaneers rank 1st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage (100.0) this season.
  • The Eagles are the only team in the NFL to rank top 5 in both passing yards and rushing yards per game this season.
  • The Eagles rank 1st in the NFL in H2 points per game (15.3) this season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction

I asked before the season, and I’m asking it now; are we sure the Philadelphia Eagles are good? The Eagles finished last season with losses in 6 of their last 7 games, which ended with a playoff loss to these very Buccaneers. While winning two of their first three games, the Eagles could easily be winless on the season, Hurts is hit or miss and the defense is a train wreck.

The Buccaneers are coming off an ugly loss in their own right, but they have shown more through three games, and they’ve covered 10 of their 14 games as an underdog. Seven of those covers were outright wins. Give me the Bucs and the points at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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