TNF: New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills 12/1/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

The New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills do battle in week 13 NFL Thursday Night Football action at Gillette Stadium. The Buffalo Bills have won 6 of their last 8 games. The New England Patriots have won 5 of their last 7 games.

The Buffalo Bills have won 3 of their last 4 road games. Josh Allen is completing 63.9 percent of his passes for 3,183 yards, 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis have combined for 1,760 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns, while Dawson Knox has 33 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 136.7 yards per contest, and Allen leads the way with 561 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 18.1 points and 327.3 yards per game. Damar Hamlin leads the Buffalo Bills with 71 tackles, Von Miller has 8 sacks and Jordan Poyer has 4 interceptions.

The New England Patriots have won 3 of their last 4 home games. Mac Jones is completing 69.2 percent of his passes for 1,768 yards, 6 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Jakobi Meyers and DeVante Parker have combined for 991 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Rhamondre Stevenson has 50 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 109 yards per contest, and Stevenson leads the way with 680 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 18.4 points and 307.8 yards per game. Ja’Whaun Bentley leads the New England Patriots with 72 tackles, Matthew Judon has 13 sacks and Jonathan Jones has 3 interceptions.

The Bills are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Patriots are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The under is 7-2 in Bills last 9 games overall. The over is 8-3 in Patriots last 11 home games. The Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New England and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

The Buffalo Bills are the better team and should be favored, but they’ve also been a bit shaky over the last month, which includes 2 losses and games that have been tighter than probably should have been. The New England Patriots still have issues finishing drives offensively, but they’re still a top-10 defensive team across the board, and that gives them a fighting chances against anybody, especially on the road. Thursday night games are usually weird and sloppy. Give me the home dog.