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Vikings vs Packers Prediction 11/23/25 NFL Picks Today

Minnesota Vikings (4-6) vs. Green Bay Packers (6-3-1)
November 23, 2025 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Green Bay Packers -6.5; Over/Under: 41.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Browns vs Raiders Prediction for this NFL Week 12 game on Sunday, November 23rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Green Bay Packers Preview

The Green Bay Packers have a 6-3-1 record this season and are sitting second in the NFC North. They are 3-7 ATS, 4-5-1 in Over/Under and have a 3-2 home record and a 3-1-1 away record. The Packers are coming off a 27-20 road win against the New York Giants and will face the Lions, Bears and Broncos next.

Offensively, the Packers average 24.0 points per game, ranking 13th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 19.6 points per game, which is 7th. Green Bay averages 344.0 total yards per game (230.5 passing and 113.5 rushing), while allowing 292.1 total yards per game (96.8 rushing and 195.3 passing).

Jordan Love leads the Packers with 2421 passing yards with 67.7% completed passes and 15 touchdowns. Josh Jacobs leads the team in rushing yards with 648, while Romeo Doubs has a team-high 39 receptions for 499 receiving yards, and four touchdowns. Defensively, Quay Walker has a team-high 84 total tackles (41 of them solo), while Micah Parsons leads the team in sacks, with 8.0, while Xavier McKinney and Evan Williams each have two interceptions.

Minnesota Vikings Preview

The Minnesota Vikings have a 4-6 record this season and are sitting fourth in the NFC North. They are 4-6 ATS, 7-3 in Over/Under and have a 2-3 home record and a 2-3 away record. The Vikings are coming off a 17-19 home loss against the Chicago Bears and will face the Seahawks, Commanders and Cowboys next.

Offensively, the Vikings average 21.8 points per game, ranking 22nd in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 23.2 points per game, which is 16th. Minnesota averages 296.4 total yards per game (193 passing and 103.4 rushing), while allowing 317.5 total yards per game (127.0 rushing and 190.5 passing).

Carson Wentz leads the Vikings with 1216 passing yards with 65.1% completed passes and six touchdowns. Jordan Mason leads the team in rushing yards with 489, while Justin Jefferson has a team-high 56 receptions for 747 receiving yards, and two touchdowns. Defensively, Eric Wilson has a team-high 70 total tackles (38 of them solo), while Jalen Redmond leads the team in sacks, with 4.0, while Josh Metellus has two interceptions.

Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers Betting Trends: Week 12

 

Why the Green Bay Packers will win

  • The Packers have won 11 of their last 12 home games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Vikings have lost seven of their last eight games at Lambeau Field following a home loss.
  • The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs following a home loss.
  • The home team has covered the spread in six of the Packers’ last seven Week 12 games.
  • The Packers have scored the first touchdown in nine of their last 11 games as favorites following a win.
  • The Vikings have lost the first half in each of their last five games as underdogs following a home loss.
  • The Packers have won the first quarter in each of their last 10 Week 12 home games.

Why the Minnesota Vikings will win

  • The Vikings have won four of their last five November games as road underdogs against NFC opponents.
  • The Packers have lost three of their last four November games as home favorites against NFC North opponents.
  • The Packers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Vikings have covered the spread in eight of their last nine November games as road underdogs.
  • The Vikings have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five Week 12 games.
  • The Packers have lost the first half in each of their last two games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
  • The Packers have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games as home favorites against NFC North opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Vikings’ last nine games as underdogs following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Packers’ last seven games against the Vikings following a win have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Three of the last four games between NFC North teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Whyle has recorded 12+ receiving yards in four of his last five home appearances against conference opponents.
  • Heading into Week 12, Daniel Whelan ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (50.8) this season.

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

  • Aaron Jones has recorded 20+ receiving yards in each of the Vikings’ last seven regular season road games against NFC opponents.
  • Cam Akers has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
  • Cam Akers has recorded 15+ rushing yards in each of his last 14 appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Cam Akers has recorded 18+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 14 appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Heading into Week 12, Will Reichard has recorded the equal-most made field goals in a single game this season (5 vs Eagles, Week 7).

Matchup/League Facts

  • Heading into Week 12, the Packers rank 32nd in the NFL in average punt return (5.3 yards) this season.
  • Heading into Week 12, the Packers rank 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (49.2%) this season.
  • Vikings – four different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 12.
  • Heading into Week 12, the Vikings have recorded the largest margin of victory in the NFL this season (38-points vs Cincinnati on September 21, 2025).

Vikings vs Packers Prediction

In this Vikings vs Packers Prediction, the Packers are coming as -6.5-point home favorites. The Packers have been the better team this season, as they have two more overall wins while both teams have identical home/away splits. The Vikings have been struggling lately, as they are 1-4 in their last 5 games and they have been weaker than the Packers both offensively and defensively, having a -1.4 point differential this season. On the flip side, the Packers have the 7th-best defense in the NFL and a +4.4 point differential and I expect them to get the job done at home today. Take the Packers and lay the -6.5 points in this one.


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