Cleveland Browns (1-3) vs. Washington Commanders (3-1)
October 6, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Commanders -3; Over/Under: +44
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cleveland Browns and the Washington Commanders meet Sunday in NFL action from FedExField. Here’s a Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Commanders vs Browns pick.
Cleveland Browns Betting Preview
Cleveland’s season kicked off with a tricky matchup versus the Dallas Cowboys. That one ended up a 33-17 defeat, but the Browns won the next week 18-13 over the Jaguars. In game three, Cleveland fell again. This time was a 21-15 result versus the New York Giants.
Last weekend versus the Raiders, the Browns took another loss. Cleveland was up 10-0 after the first quarter but then gave up 20 unanswered points in the next two quarters during a 20-16 loss. QB Deshaun Watson posted 176 yards, one TD, and one pick, while Jerry Jeudy was tops in receiving on six catches for 72 yards.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
Over on the Commanders’ side, they lost their opener versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 37-20. Washington came back with a couple of close wins in the next pair. The Commanders would take out the Giants 21-18 and the Bengals 38-33 in those games.
Game four was another win for the Commanders, but this time it wasn’t so close. Washington scored 10 points in both the second and third quarters during a 42-14 blowout victory. QB Jayden Daniels put up 233 yards with a TD and an interception. Brian Robinson posted 101 yards and a score to lead the rush.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Commanders’ last four October games as home favorites has gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the Browns’ last seven Sunday games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Austin Ekeler has scored two or more touchdowns in each of his last three appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC North opponents.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 226+ passing yards in each of the Commanders’ last three games.
- Zach Ertz has recorded 34+ receiving yards in each of his last 26 Sunday appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 36+ rushing yards in each of his last six October appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 70+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
- Austin Ekeler has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four October home appearances against AFC opponents.
- Austin Ekeler has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last 14 appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 21+ completions in each of the Commanders’ last three games.
- Austin Seibert has recorded the most made field goals in a single game this season (7 vs Giants, Week 2).
Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts
- Deshaun Watson has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his five previous appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 239+ passing yards in nine of his last 10 October appearances.
- Jerry Jeudy has recorded 42+ receiving yards in each of his eight previous road appearances against NFC opponents.
- Nick Chubb has recorded 84+ rushing yards in each of his last nine appearances against NFC opponents.
- Nick Chubb has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four October appearances with the Browns as underdogs.
- Nick Chubb has recorded 102+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances against NFC opponents.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 19+ completions in 16 of his last 17 appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Denzel Ward ranks T1st in the league for passes defensed (7) this season.
Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns Prediction
I’ll stick with the Commanders. Washington is riding high after a nice road win last weekend. Granted, it was against a struggling Cardinals team, but the numbers were still nice. The Commanders posted 449 yards of offense (216 rushing), 6.7 yards per play, 29 first downs, and a nice 9-of-12 rate on third-down tries.
As for Cleveland, they played pretty well on defense against the Raiders, giving up 268 yards (116 passing) and 4-of-12 on third-down conversions. The offense couldn’t find much success though, notching 241 yards total (149 passing), 16 first downs, and 3-of-10 on third downs. This should be a comfortable home game for the Commanders, and they’re more than capable of covering without too much difficulty.
