Dallas Cowboys (3-6) vs. Washington Commanders (7-4)
November 24, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Commanders -9.5; Over/Under: +46.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Dallas Cowboys and the Washington Commanders meet Sunday in NFL action from Northwest Stadium. Here’s a Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Commanders vs Cowboys pick.
Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview
Dallas started out the season well enough, going 3-2 with wins over the Browns, Giants, and Steelers in their first five outings. The Cowboys hit the skids after that, however, losing to the Lions, 49ers, Falcons, and Eagles over the next quartet.
In the Monday night game versus Houston, the Cowboys were within a score down 17-10 at the break. Dallas couldn’t do anything in the second half however, giving up 17 unanswered points in a 34-10 blowout loss. Cooper Rush threw for 354 yards with a TD and an interception, while CeeDee Lamb led the receivers on eight grabs for 93 yards.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
Over on the Washington side, they lost their opener to Tampa Bay, then rattled off four straight wins over the Giants, Bengals, Cardinals, and Browns. The Commanders would then fall to the Ravens before wins versus the Panthers, Bears, and Giants. A loss to the Steelers followed, however.
Washington took another defeat last Thursday, this time against the Eagles. The Commanders were up 10-6 going into the fourth quarter, then got outscored 20-8 from there in a 26-18 result. QB Jayden Daniels had 191 yards with a TD and a pick. Brian Robinson led the rush on 63 yards and a score from 16 carries.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last seven games between teams from the same division has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Cowboys’ last six games as road underdogs following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Commanders’ last six games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Zach Ertz has recorded 40+ receiving yards in 20 of his last 21 appearances with his team as a home favorite against NFC opponents.
- Austin Ekeler has scored at least one touchdown in eight of his last nine November appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 48+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 21 November appearances.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 25+ rushing yards in 14 of his 15 previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 12, Austin Seibert has recorded the most made field goals in a single game this season (7 vs Giants, Week 2).
Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts
- Jake Ferguson has recorded 44+ receiving yards in each of the Cowboys’ last five games played on the East Coast.
- CeeDee Lamb has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Cowboys’ last four games against the Commanders.
- Dak Prescott has recorded 271+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances against NFC East opponents.
- Ezekiel Elliott has recorded 38+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 16 previous regular-season appearances with the Cowboys as road underdogs against NFC opponents.
- Ezekiel Elliott has recorded 26+ rushing yards in each of his 18 previous appearances with the Cowboys as road underdogs against NFC opponents.
- Dak Prescott has thrown two or more touchdowns in 12 of his last 13 November appearances against NFC opponents.
- Dak Prescott has recorded 26+ completions in each of his last three appearances with the Cowboys as underdogs against NFC East opponents.
- Jourdan Lewis is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction
I’ll probably stick with Washington here. The Commanders were doing okay for the first three quarters in their last outing versus the Eagles, then suffered a collapse in the eventual loss. Washington would give up 434 total yards (228 rushing), 6.2 yards per play, 23 first downs, and a 9-of-16 rate on third-down tries in that one. On offense, the Commanders were pretty bad on third downs (3-of-12) and mustered a tepid 264 total yards (93 rushing). Still, each of Washington’s last three losses has been by eight points or fewer.
As for Dallas, they gained some momentum going into the break on Monday with 10 points in the second quarter. That’s all the Cowboys would muster however despite 388 yards (324 passing) and 24 first downs. The defense gave up 391 yards (250 passing) on the other side and three rush scores from Joe Mixon. Dallas seems to be a lost cause this season, so a double-digit Washington victory at home doesn’t seem too far-fetched.
