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Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction 12-22-24 NFL Picks

Philadelphia Eagles (12-2) vs. Washington Commanders (9-5)
December 22, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Commanders +3.5; Over/Under: +45.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Commanders meet Sunday in week 16 NFL action at Northwest Stadium. Here’s a Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction. This article will include a Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Pick.

Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Eagles beat the Steelers and Panthers, and they play the Cowboys next. The Philadelphia Eagles have won their last 4 road games. Jalen Hurts is completing 69.2 percent of his passes for 2,892 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith have combined for 1,608 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Dallas Goedert has 38 receptions.


The Philadelphia Eagles ground game is averaging 186.2 yards per contest, and Saquon Barkley leads the way with 1,688 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Philadelphia is allowing 17.6 points and 275.6 yards per game. Zack Baun leads the Philadelphia Eagles with 134 tackles, Josh Sweat has 8 sacks and Reed Blankenship has 3 interceptions.

Washington Commanders Betting Preview

The Washington Commanders beat the Titans and Saints, and they play the Falcons next. The Washington Commanders have won 5 of their last 7 home games. Jayden Daniels is completing 70.5 percent of his passes for 3,045 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz have combined for 1,495 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns, while Noah Brown has 35 receptions.

The Washington Commanders ground game is averaging 155.5 yards per contest, and Brian Robinson Jr. leads the way with 705 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Washington is allowing 22.5 points and 321.8 yards per game. Bobby Wagner leads the Washington Commanders with 109 tackles, Dante Fowler Jr. has 8.5 sacks and Mike Sainristil has 2 interceptions.

Why the Philadelphia Eagles will win

  • The Eagles have won each of their last 10 games.
  • The Commanders have lost each of their last nine December home games against NFC opponents.
  • The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 12 December games against NFC East opponents.
  • The Eagles have covered the spread in each of their last five road games.
  • The Eagles have won the first quarter in four of their last five games at Northwest Stadium against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Eagles have scored the first touchdown in six of their last seven Sunday games as favorites.
  • The Eagles have won the first half in each of their last eight December games as favorites.

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

  • Jayden Daniels has recorded 233+ passing yards in each of the Commanders’ last three games as underdogs following a win.
  • Terry McLaurin has recorded 73+ receiving yards in each of the Commanders’ last six home games.
  • Jayden Daniels has recorded 44+ rushing yards in each of the Commanders’ last four home games against NFC opponents.
  • Brian Robinson has scored a touchdown in each of his last five appearances with the Commanders as underdogs.
  • Luke McCaffrey has recorded 17+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Commanders’ last three games following a road win.
  • Jayden Daniels has recorded 21+ completions in each of the Commanders’ last four games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
  • Jayden Daniels has thrown two or more touchdowns in four of the Commanders’ last five Sunday games.
  • Heading into Week 16, Terry McLaurin ranks 2nd in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (11) this season.

Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Facts

  • Jalen Hurts has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Eagles’ last six games as favorites against teams on a winning streak.
  • Saquon Barkley has recorded 116+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of the Eagles’ last nine games against NFC opponents.
  • Jalen Hurts has recorded 197+ passing yards in each of his six previous December appearances against NFC East opponents.
  • Jalen Hurts has scored the first touchdown in three of the Eagles’ last four December games against NFC opponents.
  • Jalen Hurts has scored the last touchdown in three of the Eagles’ last four games following a home win.
  • Saquon Barkley has recorded 12+ receiving yards in each of his 10 previous appearances against the Commanders.
  • Jalen Hurts has recorded 61+ rushing yards in each of his four previous December appearances with the Eagles as road favorites.
  • Jalen Hurts has recorded 17+ completions in each of the Eagles’ last seven games against the Commanders.
  • Jalen Hurts has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of the Eagles’ last two games at Northwest Stadium.
  • Heading into Week 16, Saquon Barkley ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing yards (1688) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Heading into Week 16, the Commanders rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (87.5%) this season.
  • Heading into Week 16, the Commanders rank 32nd in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game (9.9) this season.
  • Heading into Week 16, the Eagles rank T1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (17.6) this season.
  • Heading into Week 16, the Eagles rank 1st in the NFL in yards allowed per game (275.6) this season.

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction

The Washington Commanders have fallen off over the last month or so, and wins over non playoff teams in the Titans and Saints doesn’t convince me they’ve figured things out. The Philadelphia Eagles have not only won 10 straight games, but they’ve covered 7 of those wins. The Eagles are playing above average ball on both sides of the field and have won 7 of the last 10 games against the Commanders, which includes an 8-point win a month ago. I’m not trying to step in front of these Eagles, and I need more convincing from the Commanders. Give me the Eagles by a touchdown. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -3.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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