Week 3: Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills 9/25/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds
Buffalo Bills (2-0) vs. Miami Dolphins (2-0)
September 25, 2022 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Dolphins +5.5 / Buffalo Bills -5.5; Over/Under: 53.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills clash Sunday in a week 3 AFC East NFL contest at Hard Rock Stadium. The Buffalo Bills look for their third 3-0 start in the last 4 seasons. The Miami Dolphins look for their first 3-0 start since the 2018 season.
The Buffalo Bills have won 4 of their last 5 road games. Josh Allen is completing 75.4 percent of his passes for 614 yards, 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis have combined for 358 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Isaiah McKenzie has 4 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 111 yards per contest, and Devin Singletary leads the way with 67 yards on 14 carries. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 8.5 points and 215 yards per game. Taron Johnson leads the Buffalo Bills with 14 tackles, Von Miller has 2 sacks and Jordan Poyer has 2 interceptions.
The Miami Dolphins have won 7 straight home games. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 71.1 percent of his passes for 739 yards, 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle have combined for 524 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Chase Edmonds has 5 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 75.5 yards per contest, and Raheem Mostert leads the way with 67 yards on 16 carries. Defensively, Miami is allowing 22.5 points and 372 yards per game. Brandon Jones leads the Miami Dolphins with 15 tackles, Emmanuel Ogbah has 1 sack and Jevon Holland has 1 interception.
The Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Dolphins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The under is 9-4 in Bills last 13 games in September. The under is 7-3 in Dolphins last 10 vs. AFC. The Bills are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The Buffalo Bills were super hyped up this offseason and through 2 games they’ve done nothing to lighten those expectations. Right now, the Bills are the team to beat, and they’ve absolutely dominated the Dolphins in past meetings. You can understand why this line is what it is. With that said, this is a different Dolphins team from the coaching staff to the talent, and they have the pieces mainly on offense to go blow for blow with this Bills club. This is a measuring stick game for both teams that are competing for an AFC East crown. I’m going to fade the public and grab the points with the Dolphins at home. This is the biggest Dolphins home game in recent memory, and that has to count for something.