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Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs 3/13/22 NHL Picks, Predictions, Odds

Toronto Maple Leafs (37-16-5) vs. Buffalo Sabres (19-32-8)
March 13, 2022 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: Buffalo Sabres +228 / Toronto Maple Leafs -276; Over/Under: -6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Buffalo Sabres meet Sunday in NHL action at Tim Hortons Field. The Toronto Maple Leafs look for a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Buffalo Sabres look for a win after splitting their last six games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.7 goals per game and are scoring on 29.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 44 goals, Morgan Rielly has 40 assists and William Nylander has 188 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 83.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jack Campbell has given up 101 goals on 1,172 shots faced, and Petr Mrazek has allowed 49 goals on 421 shots.

The Buffalo Sabres are averaging 2.6 goals per game and are scoring on 19.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Tage Thompson leads Buffalo with 23 goals, Rasmus Dahlin has 29 assists and Jeff Skinner has 182 shots on goal. Defensively, the Buffalo Sabres are allowing 3.5 goals per game and are killing 76.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Dustin Tokarski has given up 61 goals on 622 shots faced, and Craig Anderson has given up 51 goals on 534 shots.

The Maple Leafs are 36-16 in their last 52 games as a favorite and 35-16 in their last 51 overall. The Sabres are 1-7 in their last 8 Sunday games and 14-38 in their last 52 overall. The over is 26-8-2 in Maple Leafs last 36 overall. The under is 3-1-2 in Sabres last 6 overall. The Maple Leafs are 16-37-2 in the last 55 meetings in Buffalo and 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

There’s no value with the Toronto Maple Leafs at this price, especially with their shaky ways these last two weeks. As the case for most outdoor games, I’m looking at the over. We see high scoring games when played outdoors, as defenses and goalies have a hard time picking up the puck. There’s going to be a windchill in the negative, cloudy skies and a chance of light snow. Offenses should take advantage of this. Plenty of goals. Give me the over.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Over 6.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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