Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars - 8/20/20 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars - 8/20/20 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Gerry Thomas-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Stars (41-28-8) at Calgary Flames (41-30-8)

NHL Hockey: Thursday, August 20, 2020 at 3:33 pm (Rogers Place)

The Line: Calgary Flames +118 / Dallas Stars -145 --- Over/Under: 5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Dallas Stars and Calgary Flames meet Thursday in game six of the NHL West First Round at the Rogers Place.  

The Dallas Stars look for a third straight victory to close out this series and advance to the next playoff round. The Dallas Stars are averaging 2.25 goals per game and are scoring on 14.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Joe Pavelski leads Dallas with five goals, Miro Heiskanen has six assists and John Klingberg has 23 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing three goals per game and are killing 77.8 percent of their opponents power plays. Ben Bishop has given up eight goals on 58 shots faced and Anton Khudobin has allowed 15 goals on 180 shots.

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The Calgary Flames need a victory here to save their season and force a game seven on Saturday. The Calgary Flames are averaging 3.33 goals per game and are scoring on 28.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Sam Bennett leads Calgary with five goals, Sean Monahan has six assists and Dillon Dube has 26 shots on goal. Defensively, the Calgary Flames are allowing 2.22 goals per game and are killing 86.1 percent of their opponents power plays. Cam Talbot has allowed 20 goals on 301 shots faced.

The Stars are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win, 8-3 in their last 11 Thursday games and 4-10 in their last 14 overall. The Flames are 12-5 in their last 17 Thursday games, 7-20 in their last 27 playoff games as an underdog and 1-5 in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. The under is 49-23-6 in Stars last 78 games as a favorite. The over is 9-3-1 in Flames last 13 games as an underdog. The Stars are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Calgary and 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.

In an elimination game, I expect the pace of play to slow down and for the defense to rule for both sides. We're used to seeing low scoring games between the Stars and Flames anyway. In fact, seven of the last 10 meetings between the Stars and Flames have produced five or less goals, and the last three meetings are averaging 4.6 goals. Instead of trying to figure out if we'll see a game seven in this series, give me the under five goals.

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Randy’s Pick Under 5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.