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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Dallas Stars – 9/19/20 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning 9/19/20: NHL Hockey free preview, analysis, prediction, odds and pick against the spread.
2020-09-19 19:30:00 EDT

The Dallas Stars and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Saturday in game one of the NHL Stanley Cup Final at the Rogers Place.

The Dallas Stars haven’t played in five days and are coming off a five-win series win over the Las Vegas Golden Knights. The Dallas Stars are averaging 2.95 goals per game and are scoring on 27.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Joe Pavelski leads Dallas with nine goals, Miro Heiskanen has 17 assists and Jamie Benn has 57 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 3.05 goals per game and are killing 83.3 percent of their opponents power plays. Ben Bishop has given up 12 goals on 77 shots faced and Anton Khudobin has allowed 49 goals on 610 shots. Jake Oettinger has allowed zero goals on five shots. 

The Tampa Bay Lightning are fresh off a six-game series win over the New York Islanders. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.11 goals per game and are scoring on 17.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with nine goals, Nikita Kucherov has 20 assists and Ondrej Palat has 63 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.21 goals per game and are killing 83.6 percent of their opponents power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 40 goals on 583 shots faced.

The Stars are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog, 11-4 in their last 15 Saturday games and 5-1 in their last 6 overall. The Lightning are 10-2 in their last 12 Saturday games, 36-16 in their last 52 games as a favorite and 40-15 in their last 55 overall. The under is 4-0-1 in Stars last 5 overall. The under is 3-1-1 in Lightning last 5 overall. The Stars are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings. The over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings.

Four of the last eight meetings between the Stars and Lightning have gone to overtime, and Dallas has won five of the last 10 meetings against Tampa Bay, including the last two meetings, with the most recent contest coming last January. The Tampa Bay Lightning are the better and more trustworthy team at this point, but the Stars have proven they can play with them and they have a serious rest advantage. The Stars have been cashing left and right in these playoffs as an underdog and the offense has picked up a ton since the round robin games. The Stars just made light work with a solid Vegas team, they can given the Lightning some issues as well. Give me the plus money.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Dallas Stars +140

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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