Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Picks, Odds, Predictions 3/25/21

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Picks, Odds, Predictions 3/25/21 Photo by Marc DesRosiers-USA TODAY Sports

Toronto Maple Leafs (20-10-2) at Ottawa Senators (12-20-3)

NHL Hockey: Thursday, March 25, 2021 at 7:00 pm (Canadian Tire Centre)

The Line: Ottawa Senators +218 / Toronto Maple Leafs -245 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

TV: TSN5, RDS, TSN4 Stream live sports and exclusive originals on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Ottawa Senators meet in NHL action from the Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday night.

The Toronto Maple Leafs will look to build on a 2-0 win over Calgary last time out. Mitch Marner leads the Leafs in scoring with 40 points including a team-high 28 assists while Auston Matthews has 36 points with a team-high 21 goals with 15 apples. John Tavares has got 27 points with 9 goals and 18 assists while Morgan Rielly and William Nylander each have 24 points with Rielly logging 21 assists while Nylander’s points are split between 12 goals and 12 assists. As a team, Toronto is averaging 3.3 goals on 30.6 shots per game with a 27.7% success rate on the PP while giving up 2.6 goals on 28.3 shots against per game with a 76.1% success rate on the PK this season.

The Ottawa Senators will attempt to build on their 3-1 win over the Calgary Flames in their last matchup. Brady Tkachuk leads the Sens in scoring with 22 points coming on a team-high 11 goals and 11 assists while Thomas Chabot has 21 points with a team-high 17 assists this season. Drake Batherson also has 21 points with 11 goals of his own while Tim Stutzle and Josh Norris each have double-digit assist totals in the top-5 this season. As a team, Ottawa is averaging 2.6 goals on 31.6 shots per game with a 14.4% success rate on the power play while allowing 3.8 goals against on 32 shots per game with a 75% success rate defending the PK this season.

Get the Experts BEST BETS For Today's Games

Toronto is 2-6 in their last 8 games overall and 1-4 in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. Ottawa is 20-47 in their last 67 games overall and 12-40 in their last 52 games played on no rest while the under is 21-7 in their last 28 games played on no rest. The home team is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams.

I get that the Leafs are the better team talent-wise and should be heavy favorites here, but even as a Leafs fan, I’m not laying this juice or the puck line with Toronto just because. The Leafs can’t get their act together and it’s burnt a hole in your pocket if you’ve backed them. Ottawa may be on a back-to-back, but the Sens play their best at home and have now won or had lost by a single goal in 14 of their 17 home games this season. There’s a ton of value here with Ottawa +1.5.

Sportsbook Bonus Offer: Bet $20 Win $100 (MLB or NBA) CLICK HERE

Chris’s Pick Ottawa +1.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

Best Online Sportsbook Offer For Today 5/16/21