Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres NHL Picks, Odds, Predictions 4/29/21

Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres NHL Picks, Odds, Predictions 4/29/21 Photo by Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports

Buffalo Sabres (13-30-7) at Boston Bruins (28-14-6)

NHL Hockey: Thursday, April 29, 2021 at 7:00 pm (TD Garden)

The Line: Boston Bruins -350 / Buffalo Sabres +305 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Buffalo Sabres visit the Boston Bruins in NHL action from the TD Garden on Thursday night.

The Buffalo Sabres will look to bounce back from a 3-1 loss at the hands of the New York Rangers in their last matchup. Sam Reinhart leads the Sabres in scoring with 36 points including a team-high 22 goals and 14 assists while Victor Olofsson has 29 points with 13 goals and 16 apples. Rasmus Dahlin’s got a team-high 18 assists while Casey Mittelstadt has 9 goals and 9 assists and Kyle Okposo and Rasmus Ristolainen each have double-digit assist tallies this season. As a team, Buffalo is averaging 2.4 goals on 28.2 shots with a 20.8 % success rate on the power play while allowing 3.4 goals on 33.1 shots against with a 78.4% success rate on the penalty kill.

The Boston Bruins will look to build on their 3-1 win over the Pittsburgh Penguins in their last matchup. Brad Marchand leads the Bruins in scoring with 58 points including team-highs of 26 goals and 32 assists while David Pastrnak’s got 42 points with 18 goals and 24 assists. Patrice Bergeron is one assist behind with 41 points while David Krejci has 32 points with 25 apples this season. Criaig Smith has 27 points with 10 goals and 17 assists while Charlie McAvoy and Taylor Hall each have 26 points with 20+ assists this season. As a team, Boston is averaging 2.8 goals on 32.7 shots with a 20.9% success rate on the power play while allowing 2.5 goals on 27.9 shots against with an 85.8% success rate killing off penalties this season.

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Buffalo is 14-43 in their last 57 games overall and 31-65 in their last 86 road games while the Over is 9-4 in their last 13 games overall. Boston is under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite. The favorite is 38-17 in the last 55 meetings between these two teams.

I get why Boston’s favored at home here as the Bruins have taken it to the Sabres in recent meetings and the Bruins are also clinging onto the last playoff spot in the East division. However, I worry that the Bruins might be looking ahead in this spot at the next few games rather than take the Sabres seriously as a winnable game and a softer schedule spot to take advantage of. I think the Sabres could catch the Bruins here and surprise some folks, and at over three times out money on the takeback, it’s worth a shot here.

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Chris’s Pick Buffalo +305

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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