Avalanche vs Islanders Prediction 12/4/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Avalanche vs Islanders Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, December 4^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

New York Islanders Preview

The Islanders have 31 points this season with a 14-10-3 record, and are 12-15 ATS and 13-14 in over/under. They have a 6-6-2 home record and an 8-4-1 road record and are sitting 6th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 2-1 home win over the Lightning and their previous three games, were a loss against the Capitals, a loss against the Flyers, and a loss against the Bruins.

Offensively, the Islanders are averaging 2.85 goals per game and are scoring 13.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.78 goals per game and are killing 82.3% of their opponent’s power plays.

Bo Horvat leads the Islanders with 27 points, also leading the team in goals with 16, while Kyle Palmieri adds a team-high 12 assists. Ilya Sorokin is the starting goalie for the Islanders, and he has an 8-8-2 record, with 2.57 GAA and .905 SV%. David Rittich is the backup goalie and he has a 6-2-1 record, with 2.61 GAA and .901 SV%.

Colorado Avalanche Preview

The Avalanche have 44 points this season with a 19-1-6 record, and are 16-10 ATS and 10-16 in over/under. They have a 11-0-2 home record and an 8-1-4 road record and are sitting 1st in the Central Division. They are coming off a 3-1 home win over the Canucks and their previous three games, were a win against the Canadiens, a loss against the Wild, and a win against the Sharks.

Offensively, the Avalanche are averaging 4.08 goals per game and are scoring 16.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.04 goals per game and are killing 87.0% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 46 points, also leading the team in goals with 22, adding a team-high 24 assists. Scott Wedgewood is the starting goalie for the Avalanche, and he has a 13-1-3 record, with 2.07 GAA and .920 SV%. Mackenzie Blackwood is the backup goalie and he has a 6-0-1 record, with 1.84 GAA and .930 SV%.

Colorado Avalanche @ New York Islanders Betting Trends: December 4, 2025

Why the New York Islanders will win

• The underdogs have won 12 of the Islanders’ last 15 games.
• The Avalanche have lost eight of their last 11 games as road favorites following a home win.
• The Islanders have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 games as home underdogs following a home win.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four road games.
• The home team has won the second period in each of the Avalanche’s last four games.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Avalanche have won each of their last 12 night games.
• The Islanders have lost each of their last three home games against Central Division opponents.
• The Avalanche have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine home games.
• The Avalanche have won the third period in each of their last nine games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Islanders’ last seven games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Avalanche’s last five games following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last six Thursday games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in four of the Avalanche’s last five games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

• Bo Horvat has scored a goal in each of the Islanders’ last four games as underdogs.
• Anders Lee has recorded at least one point in each of the Islanders’ last six home games against the Avalanche.
• Jean-Gabriel Pageau has recorded at least one assist in each of the Islanders’ last four home games against the Avalanche.
• Scott Mayfield has recorded three hits against the Avalanche this season – most against any opponent.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Nathan MacKinnon has scored at least one goal in each of the Avalanche’s last four games.
• Cale Makar has recorded at least one assist in each of the Avalanche’s last 10 games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Cale Makar has recorded at least one point in each of the Avalanche’s last 10 games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for Points (46) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Islanders rank 32nd in the league in power play percentage this season (13.33%).
• The New York Islanders rank T1st in the league in short handed goals this season (5).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (4.08).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (2.04).

Avalanche vs Islanders Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Avalanche won 4-1 at home and are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Islanders. Over is 7-2 in their last 9 meetings.

In this Avalanche vs Islanders Prediction, the Avalanche are coming as -200 road favorites. The Avalanche have been by far the best team in hockey this season with 19 total wins, and have more points and better home/away splits than the Islanders, who are just 1-3 in their last 4 games. The Avalanche are also a dominant 16-10 to the puckline this season while the Islanders just 12-15, and Colorado has both the best offense and defense in hockey so far. They have already won comfortably their previous meeting against New York this season and I expect them to do so again today. Take the Avalanche on the puckline in this one.