Avalanche vs Lightning Prediction 11/4/25 NHL Picks Today

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Colorado Avalanche meet Tuesday in NHL action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Avalanche vs Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Avalanche vs Lightning Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Stars and Mammoth, and they play the Golden Knights next. The Lightning have won 5 straight games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 2.92 goals per game and are scoring on 14.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Anthony Cirelli leads Tampa Bay with 7 goals, Victor Hedman has 9 assists, and Jake Guentzel has 37 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.75 goals per game and are killing 90 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 21 goals on 208 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 11 goals on 131 shots.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Golden Knights, lost to the Sharks, and they play the Oilers next. The Avalanche have lost 5 of their last 7 games.

The Colorado Avalanche are averaging 3.62 goals per game and are scoring on 16.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Nathan MacKinnon leads Colorado with 10 goals, Cale Maker has 14 assists and Victor Olofsson has 40 shots on goal. Defensively, the Colorado Avalanche are allowing 2.54 goals per game and are killing 89.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Scott Wedgewood has given up 26 goals on 261 shots faced, and Trent Miner has allowed 4 goals on 44 shots.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Avalanche have won each of their last eight Tuesday home games.
• The Lightning have lost seven of their last eight road games following a road win.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games following a road win.
• The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the last four games between the Lightning and Avalanche.
• The Avalanche have won the third period in each of their last seven home games.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last five games.
• The Avalanche have lost four of their last six games as favorites.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Lightning’s last seven games.
• The Lightning have won the second period in each of their last five games against Central Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Four of the last five games between the Lightning and Avalanche have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Lightning’s last five road games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last nine games as favorites against the Lightning.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in four of the Lightning’s last five games as underdogs.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Martin Necas has scored the first goal in each of the Avalanche’s last three games.
• Valeri Nichushkin has scored at least one goal in each of the Avalanche’s last five games as home favorites against the Lightning.
• Valeri Nichushkin has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven home appearances against the Lightning.
• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven home appearances against the Lightning.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks T1st in the league for Goals (10) this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Cirelli has scored a goal in each of the Lightning’s last five games against the Avalanche.
• Anthony Cirelli has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last six games against the Avalanche.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in 11 of the Lightning’s last 12 road games against Central Division opponents.
• Anthony Cirelli ranks 1st amongst qualified players for shooting percentage (35.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Colorado Avalanche rank 4th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.54).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (89.74%).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (90.00%).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 28th in the league in power play percentage this season (14.63%).

Avalanche vs Lightning Prediction

The Avalanche are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home, where they’ve earned points in all five games this season. The problem is we’re getting plus money with a red-hot Lightning squad that’s played their best hockey on the road this season. The Lightning have really stepped up on the defensive end, and they’ve won 7 of the last 10 games against the Avs. The Lightning have outscored the Avalanche 19-7 in the last three meetings. I’ll take a shot with the Lightning and the plus money on Tuesday.