Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Prediction 10/10/26 NHL Picks Today

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Colorado Avalanche meet Saturday in NHL action at the Ball Arena. Here’s an Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Prediction. This article will include an Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Pick.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Golden Knights, beat the Predators, and they play the Mammoth next. The Maple Leafs have lost 11 of their last 14 games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 2.8 goals per game and are scoring 20 percent of their power-play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 3 goals, Auston Matthews has 4 assists, and Kirill Marchenko has 15 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.8 goals per game and are killing 93.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Sergei Bobrovsky has allowed 9 goals on 96 shots faced, and Anthony Stolarz has given up 5 goals on 52 shots.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche lost to the Jets, beat the Flames, and they play the Stars next. The Avalanche have won 8 of their last 10 regular season games.

The Colorado Avalanche are averaging 5.75 goals per game and are scoring on 30.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Artturi Lehkonen leads Colorado with 3 goals, Nathan MacKinnon has 5 assists, and Martin Necas has 13 shots on goal. Defensively, the Colorado Avalanche are allowing 2.75 goals per game and are killing 100 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Mackenzie Blackwood has given up 8 goals on 76 shots faced, and Scott Wedgewood has allowed 3 goals on 29 shots.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs.
• The Avalanche have won each of their last six games following a road win.
• The home team has covered the puck line in five of the Avalanche’s last six games.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last eight games as road underdogs following a shootout win.
• The Maple Leafs have lost the second period in each of their last seven games as underdogs.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Avalanche have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The underdogs have won five of the last seven games between the Maple Leafs and Avalanche.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in seven of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Avalanche have lost the third period in five of their last six night games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Five of the Avalanche’s last six home games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Maple Leafs’ last nine night games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 12 games after coming off overtime.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last six home games against the Maple Leafs.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Brock Nelson has scored at least one goal in five of the Avalanche’s last six home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Cale Makar has recorded an assist in each of the Avalanche’s last six games as favorites against the Maple Leafs.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks T3rd in the league for multi-point games (3) this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Easton Cowan has scored a goal in three of the Maple Leafs’ last four road games.
• Kirill Marchenko has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances against Central Division opponents.
• Kirill Marchenko ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (5.75).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (100.00%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 2nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (93.33%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T1st in the league for power play goals against this season (1).

Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Injury Report

The Avalanche will be without Logan O’Connor, Trent Miner, and Georgii Merkulov.

The Maple Leafs will be without John Tavares, Dakota Joshua, Max Domi, Cade Webber, Elvis Merzlikins, and William Villeneuve. Oliver Ekman-Larsson is day-to-day.

Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Prediction

The Avs should obviously be favored, but the Maple Leafs have put together a decent week, and we know the talent is there. It’s just a matter of showing up. The Maple Leafs have split the last 10 games against the Avalanche and have earned points in seven of those games. This is a big price for a Leafs team that has the talent on any given night. I’ll take a shot to make more than 1.5 times my money.