Avalanche vs Penguins Prediction 3/4/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Avalanche vs Penguins prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 4th at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche are 35-24-2 this year after they defeated Minnesota by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Colorado trailed 2-1 after the first period, but they scored the last four goals in the game for the win. The Avalanche outshot Minnesota by a total of 30-20, won 58.5% of the face-offs, and went 2-3 on the power play in the game. Colorado got goals from Drouin, Drury, Nichushkin, and Colton (2), while Blackwood stopped 18 out of 20 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Avalanche defeated the Devils by a score of 5-1 but did lose to the Blues by a score of 3-1 before that. Colorado has won four of their last six games and they are currently fourth in the Central standings with 72 points. Colorado has scored 3.23 goals per game and they have allowed 2.97 goals against per game, while also going 22.5% on the power play and 79.9% on the penalty kill this season. Nathan MacKinnon has led Colorado with 23 goals, 68 assists, and 247 shots on goal, while Cale Makar has added 22 goals, 45 assists, and 190 shots on goal. Mackenzie Blackwood is 16-7-2 with a 2.12 goals against average and a .921 save percentage this year. 

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins are 24-29-10 this season after they lost to Toronto in overtime by a score of 6-5 in their last game. Pittsburgh led 4-3 in the second period, but they needed a third-period goal to tie the game, before losing in overtime. The Penguins outshot Toronto by a total of 34-33, won 44.1% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Pittsburgh got goals from Crosby, Glass, Rakell (2), and Rust, while Blomqvist stopped 27 out of 33 shots in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Penguins lost to the Bruins by a score of 3-2 but did beat the Flyers by a score of 5-4 before that. Pittsburgh has lost six of their last seven games and they are currently last in the Metro standings with 58 points. Pittsburgh has scored 2.89 goals per game and they have allowed 3.62 goals against per game, while also going 24.2% on the power play and 78.8% on the penalty kill this season. Sidney Crosby has led Pittsburgh with 19 goals, 46 assists, and 175 shots on goal, while Rickard Rakell has added 28 goals, 24 assists, and 163 shots on goal. Alex Nedeljkovic is 12-12-5 with a 3.18 goals against average and an .892 save percentage this year. 

Why the Avalanche will beat the Penguins

• The Avalanche have won each of their last four games at Ball Arena.
• The Penguins have lost six of their last seven games.
• The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the Avalanche’s last four games at Ball Arena.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games.
• The Penguins have lost the second period in seven of their last eight games as underdogs when tied after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Penguins’ last six Tuesday games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Six of the Avalanche’s last seven games against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last 11 games at Ball Arena.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in nine of the Avalanche’s last 10 night games at Ball Arena against opponents on a losing streak.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Artturi Lehkonen has scored a goal in seven of the Avalanche’s last eight games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one point in each of the Avalanche’s last 16 home games.
• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Avalanche’s last eight home games against the Penguins.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Sidney Crosby has scored at least one goal in each of his last four appearances at Ball Arena.
• Bryan Rust has recorded at least one point in each of the Penguins’ last six games against the Avalanche.
• Evgeni Malkin has recorded at least one assist in five of the Penguins’ last six games against the Avalanche.

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Avalanche vs Penguins Prediction 

Colorado comes into this matchup looking for their third win in a row and they will be on home ice for this game. The Avalanche are 18-10-2 at home this year, while the Penguins are 10-16-5 on the road. Pittsburgh has been pretty bad over the last few weeks and their defense/goaltending continues to be a huge issue. The Penguins are allowing over 3.60 goals against per game this year and they will be facing a Colorado team that has scored five goals in three of their last five games. Take the Avalanche to win by at least two goals here.