Avalanche vs Senators Prediction 11/12/26 NHL Picks Today

Avalanche vs Senators Prediction

In this Avalanche vs Senators Prediction, the Avalanche are coming as -115 road favorites. Both teams have the same number of points this season but the Senators are 5-5 in their last 10 overall games and 2-2 in their last four at home, facing an Avalanche team that is 5-2 in its last 7 games, but has been significantly weaker on the road this season. The Avalanche have been all about the over this season with a 13-6 O/U record and all but on of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between those two teams went over the total. Take the over 6.5 goals in this one.

The Avalanche are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings against the Senators and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Ottawa. Over is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings.

Ottawa Senators Preview

The Senators have 24 points this season with a 11-6-2 record and a 6-2-1 home record. They are 7-12 ATS and 7-12 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-2 overtime home loss against the Capitals and will face the Avalanche and Jets next.

Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.05 goals per game with 25.7 shots on goal per game and are scoring 12.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.00 goals per game on 26.8 shots on goal per game and are killing 76.1% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 233 total penalty minutes this season.

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 23 points, adding a team-high 9 goals with 43 shots on goal and a team-high 14 assists. Drake Batherson follows with 18 points with 9 goals and 9 assists, while Shane Pinto adds 14 points with 7 goals and 7 assists and Claude Giroux adds 11 points with 3 goals and 8 assists and Michael Amadio adds 11 points with 6 goals and 5 assists. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 7-1-0 record, with 1.33 GAA and .945 SV%. Samuel Ersson is the backup goalie and he has a 3-3-2 record, with 3.11 GAA and .885 SV%.

Injury Report:

Nick Cousins — Day-To-Day, est. return Nov 12

Linus Ullmark — OUT, est. return Nov 12

Andre Burakovsky — IR, est. return Nov 27

Warren Foegele — IR, est. return Nov 25

William Eklund — IR, est. return Jan 5

Colorado Avalanche Preview

The Avalanche have 24 points this season with a 11-6-2 record and a 4-5-0 road record. They are 11-8 ATS and 13-6 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-3 road win against the Maple Leafs and will face the Senators and Mammoth next.

Offensively, the Avalanche are averaging 4.11 goals per game with 30.4 shots on goal per game and are scoring 22.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.05 goals per game on 27.4 shots on goal per game and are killing 78.6% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 166 total penalty minutes this season.

Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 30 points, adding a team-high 20 assists, while Artturi Lehkonen leads the team in goals with 13 with 42 shots on goal and 18 points. Martin Necas follows with 24 points with 10 goals and 14 assists, while Cale Makar adds 23 points with 5 goals and 18 assists and Devon Toews adds 18 points with 6 goals and 12 assists. Mackenzie Blackwood is the starting goalie for the Avalanche, and he has a 10-3-1 record, with 2.63 GAA and .901 SV%. Scott Wedgewood is the backup goalie and he has a 1-3-1 record, with 4.02 GAA and .867 SV%.

Injury Report:

Josh Manson — IR-LT, est. return Dec 27

Zachary L’Heureux — IR-LT, est. return Nov 27

Colorado Avalanche @ Ottawa Senators Betting Trends: November 12, 2026

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• The Avalanche have lost six of their last nine games as road favorites.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as favorites following a road win.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in six of their last seven games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
• The Avalanche have lost the third period in each of their last four games against Atlantic Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Avalanche have won each of their last three games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Avalanche have covered the puck line in each of their last three games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five Thursday night games.
• The Senators have lost the second period in four of their last five games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Nine of the last 10 night games between the Avalanche and Senators have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Avalanche’s last five games against the Senators following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last five road games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in five of the last six games between the Avalanche and Senators at Canadian Tire Centre.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Shane Pinto has scored a goal in three of the Senators’ last four games as underdogs.
• Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last seven games against Central Division opponents at Canadian Tire Centre.
• Michael Amadio has recorded 19 career blocks against the Avalanche – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Martin Necas has scored at least one goal in each of the Avalanche’s last three games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Cale Makar has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Avalanche’s last eight games as favorites against the Senators.
• Nazem Kadri has scored 16 career goals against the Senators – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Ottawa Senators are the only team to lose a game when leading by 3 or more goals after Period 1 this season.
• The Ottawa Senators rank T30th in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (4).
• The Colorado Avalanche have recorded the equal-most wins by a margin of 4+ goals this season (4).
• The Colorado Avalanche has scored 5+ goals in nine games this season – equal-most in the NHL.