Avalanche vs Stars Prediction 5/1/25 NHL Picks Today

The Dallas Stars and the Colorado Avalanche meet Monday in NHL action from the American Airlines Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Avalanche vs Stars Prediction.

Series Recap

The Dallas Stars come into this game looking to build on their 6-2 win from game five, putting themselves in the driver’s seat after taking a 3-2 series lead with the win. Wyatt Johnston opened the scoring for the Stars just nine seconds into the game before Thomas Harley doubled Dallas’ lead with :45 to go in the opening frame. Mikko Rantanen made it 3-0 just 1:12 into the second period before Artturi Lehkonen and Nathan MacKinnon scored 2:27 apart to make things interesting a 3-2. That score lasted all of 2:10 before Johnston restored the two-goal lead on the power play and Mason Marchment made it 5-2 1:44 after that. The 5-2 score would hold until Roope Hintz added an empty-netter with just over two minutes to go to seal the deal.

Stars Looking To Advance

Matt Duchene has 82 points including 30 goals along with 52 assists. Jason Robertson has 80 points with 35 goals and 45 assists while Roope Hintz has 67 points with 29 goals and Jamie Benn has 49 points with 16 goals and 33 assists. Wyatt Johnston also has 71 points with 33 goals and 38 assists as well on the year. Evgenii Dadonov’s added 40 points split between 20 goals and 20 assists and Thomas Harley has 50 points with 16 goals and 34 assists as well this year. In goal for Dallas, Jake Oettinger is 36-18-4 with a 2.59 GAA and a .909 save percentage while Casey DeSmith is 14-8-2 with a 2.63 GAA and a .913 save percentage this season.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The underdogs have won 10 of the Stars’ last 12 games.
• The Avalanche have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last five games at Ball Arena following a home win.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six home games against Western Conference opponents.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Jason Robertson has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine playoff appearances against Central Division opponents.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one point in 12 of his last 13 playoff appearances against the Avalanche.
• Thomas Harley has scored two goals against the Avalanche this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Avalanche Looking To Force Game Seven

Nathan MacKinnon has a team-high 116 points including 32 goals and a team-high 84 assists while Cale Makar has 92 points with 30 goals and 62 assists. Artturi Lehkonen also has 45 points with 27 goals while Devon Toews has 44 points with 34 assists as well. Mackenzie Blackwood is 22-12-3 with a 2.33 GAA and a .913 save percentage while Scott Wedgewood has gone 13-4-1 with a 1.99 GAA and a .917 save percentage in goal for Colorado on the year.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Avalanche have won 12 of their last 14 games following a road loss.
• The Stars have lost five of their last six road games against Central Division opponents.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five road games.
• The home team has covered the puck line in three of the Avalanche’s last four games.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Devon Toews has recorded an assist in seven of the Avalanche’s last eight home games against Central Division opponents.
• Brock Nelson has recorded at least one point in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Stars.
• Nathan MacKinnon has scored at least one goal in five of the Avalanche’s last six games against Central Division opponents.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks T1st in the league for Assists (84) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• • Each of the Avalanche’s last seven home games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Stars’ last five road games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Six of the last eight games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.

Avalanche vs Stars Prediction

I’m on the Avalanche in this one. It’s an interesting series that’s gone back and forth with swings both ways, but I truthfully had this as a series that was going seven from the jump, and I honestly expect no different here. These are two of the NHL’s best and have played like it for the most part in this series, and I never want to go against Nathan MacKinnon with his back against the wall and season on the line. In the end, I think we’re headed back to the Lone Star State when all is said and done. Give me the Avalanche in this one.