Blues vs Capitals Prediction 11/5/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Blues vs Capitals Prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, November 5^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Washington Capitals Preview

The Capitals have 13 points this season with a 6-5-1 record, and are 6-6 ATS and 4-6 in over/under. They have a 3-4 home record and a 3-1-1 road record and are sitting 6th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 3-4 road loss to the Sabres and will face the Penguins, Lightning and Hurricanes next.

Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 2.58 goals per game and are scoring 15.00% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.33 goals per game and are killing 75.00% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tom Wilson leads Washington with 13 points, 6 goals and 7 assists, while Dylan Strome follows with 11 points, 3 goals and 8 assists. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 5-3-0 record, with 1.51 GAA and .935 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 1-2-1 record, with 3.46 GAA and .880 SV%.

St. Louis Blues Preview

The Blues have 10 points this season with a 4-7-2 record, and are 5-8 ATS and 8-5 in over/under. They have a 2-4 home record and a 2-3-0 road record and are sitting 8th in the Central Division. They are coming off a 3-2 home win over the Oilers and will face the Sabres, Kraken and Flames next.

Offensively, the Blues are averaging 2.85 goals per game and are scoring 25.00% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 4.00 goals per game and are killing 67.65% of their opponent’s power plays.

Robert Thomas, Pius Suter, Jimmy Snuggerud and Jordan Kyrou lead St. Louis with 8 points each; Thomas has 2 goals and 6 assists, Suter has 5 goals and 3 assists, Snuggerud has 4 goals and 4 assists, and Kyrou has 4 goals and 4 assists. Jordan Binnington is the starting goalie for the Blues, and he has a 3-4-2 record, with 3.08 GAA and .868 SV%. Joel Hofer is the backup goalie and he has a 1-3-0 record, with 5.16 GAA and .829 SV%.

St. Louis Blues @ Washington Capitals Betting Trends: November 5, 2025

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Blues have lost each of their last six games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Capitals have won each of their last six home games after coming off a shootout.
• The Blues have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last five home games after coming off overtime.
• The Capitals have won the third period in each of their last eight home games after coming off overtime.

Why the St. Louis Blues will win

• The underdogs have won nine of the Blues’ last 11 games.
• The Capitals have lost six of their last eight games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 10 of the Blues’ last 11 games.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last 10 games as home favorites after coming off a shootout.
• The Capitals have lost the second period in six of their last seven games against Central Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the Blues’ last nine games as underdogs following a home win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Capitals’ last eight night games at Capital One Arena following a shootout loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last 11 games as favorites against the Blues.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Blues’ last 10 road games against the Capitals.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Tom Wilson has scored a goal in five of the Capitals’ last six night games at Capital One Arena.
• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in nine of the Capitals’ last 10 games as home favorites against Central Division opponents.
• Alex Ovechkin has recorded at least one point in 12 of the Capitals’ last 13 games as home favorites against Central Division opponents.
• Ryan Leonard ranks T6th in the league for Game Winning Goals (2) this season.

St. Louis Blues Player Prop Facts

• Robert Thomas has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances.
• Robert Thomas has recorded at least one point in each of the Blues’ last 10 Wednesday road games.
• Jake Neighbours has scored at least one goal in each of his last three appearances in road games.
• Justin Faulk has recorded 75 career blocks against the Capitals – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Washington Capitals rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (2.33).
• The Washington Capitals rank 28th in the league for goals per game this season (2.58).
• The St. Louis Blues rank T31st in the league for goals against per game this season (4.00).
• The St. Louis Blues rank 28th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (67.65%).

Blues vs Capitals Prediction

The Blues are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Caps and are 4-1 in their last 5 visits in Washington. Over is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Blues vs Capitals Prediction, the Capitals are coming as -150 home favorites. Both teams have been in terrible form lately, as the Caps have four consecutive losses and the Blues are 1-7 in their last 8 games. Both teams have been struggling offensively this season, scoring 5.43 goals per game combined and as a result they are 4-1 to the under in their last 5 games combined. With the Caps also having the best defense in hockey, I expect a low-scoring affair, so take the under 6 in this one.